I'd like to thank the committee for its invitation to speak today about Bill C-59. I'd like to limit my comments this morning to the proposed increase in annual contribution room in the tax-free savings account to $10,000 from $5,500.
I'd like to start with some critical information missing from budget 2015, without which I'm afraid the committee members may draw incorrect conclusions from the benefits of TFSA doubling.
The graph on the slide is reproduced directly from the federal budget 2015, and it purports to show that lower- and middle-income Canadians may gain more than wealthy Canadians from TFSA doubling. Unfortunately, the proportion of the population contained in each of these bars is not shown or included elsewhere in the budget, and this missing critical information for context to understanding what's happening here may lead to incorrect conclusions.
For instance, if the first bar on the left—for those making under $20,000—represented only 1% of the population, but received 15% of the benefits from TFSA doubling, as shown in the graph, this would certainly be a good deal for this group. Unfortunately, those making under $20,000 represent 34% of the population, but only receive 15% of the benefits—not an especially good deal.
On the other hand, those making over $250,000, representing the top 1% of the population, receive 4% of the benefits—definitely a good deal for them. In fact, the bottom 25% of the population in this graph—those making under $10,000—receive only 8% of the benefits of TFSA doubling; however, the richest 10% of the population receive 22% of the benefits of TFSA doubling.
However, looking at the distribution of benefits alone belies a larger fact, that very few Canadians are actually maximizing the TFSA room they already have.
This slide shows the percentage of Canadians who are maximizing their TFSAs in 2013, the most recent year available. It also displays bars of 10%, or deciles of the population, so as not to under-represent low-income Canadians, as the previous graph did.
For the bottom half of the population—those making under $30,000—maximization rates for TFSAs are vanishingly small. In every decile, the maximization rates are at or under 5%, meaning that 95% of the bottom half of the population haven't maximized the room they had in 2013.
Maximization rates are predictably higher at higher income levels, and they peak for the top 1%, where roughly one-third have maximized their TFSAs.
Underlying low maximization rates are low take-up rates in opening a TFSA account in the first place, particularly for low- and middle-income Canadians. For the bottom half of Canadians, only 30% have even opened a TFSA account; in other words, three-quarters of the lower half of Canadians don't have a TFSA. In contrast, 70% of those in the top 1% making over $250,000 do have a TFSA.
The final slide shows that since 2010 maximization rates have been falling. For the poorest 10% of Canadians making under $5,000 a year, only 4% maximized their TFSA in 2010, and that's fallen to only 1% in 2015. For the middle-income earners—this is the sixth decile—the maximization rate has fallen from 12% in 2010, when the maximum was $10,000 for a TFSA, to only 5% in 2015, when the cap was the much higher $36,500. This is prior to the doubling being discussed here.
The purported purpose of the TFSA program is to help low- and middle-income Canadians save for retirement and in particular to avoid the GIS clawback upon retirement. However, take-up rates, much less maximization rates among low- and middle-income Canadians have been poor, and the program has been much more rapidly taken up by the rich.
In order that this program does not produce TFSA millionaires who are eligible for programs meant for low-income seniors, like the guaranteed income supplement, it's important that the TFSA program have two caps put in place. First, a lifetime contribution cap should be set at $150,000, and second, a maximum amount of assets in a TFSA should also be set at a cap of $300,000.
I encourage the committee to include these caps in budget 2015.
Thank you, and I look forward to your questions.