In the economic analysis that says Canadians are breaking even or suffering a small loss, a lot of assumptions have to be made about behavioural change. There hasn't been an attempt, because there's too much uncertainty and there isn't an adequate model to measure the financial benefit of emissions reductions. However, on what we can measure very clearly, which is money paid under the auspices of the carbon tax and the money that's refunded to individuals, roughly 80% of Canadians are breaking even or receiving more back than they paid in the carbon tax. Of the 20% who are likely to be paying more in tax than they're receiving back, they're likely to be in the top quintile of Canadian earners. Is that a fair statement?
On April 18th, 2023. See this statement in context.