Mr. Speaker, Bill C-24 implements the results of the conference on equalization held on October 26, 2004, results that were imposed upon Quebec and the provinces by this federal government. We are going to vote against this bill.
Why are we going to vote against it? For a number of reasons. First of all, Bill C-24 does not in any way correct the fiscal imbalance. The funds available, considerable though they are, will not solve the problems, as they are still far from enough.
Second, there is no in-depth reform of the equalization program, so the problems that have been pointed out, by Quebec in particular, are still there and will continue. Worse yet, the proposed changes to the equalization program will potentially worsen the fiscal disparity between the provinces.
Certain specific agreements have been negotiated by the federal government, with Newfoundland and Nova Scotia for instance, but these are not covered by the bill. As a result there is a major problem of unfairness and the very spirit of equalization is being violated.
The very essence of this bill is flawed. Indeed, this agreement includes, among other things, an allocation formula between the provinces that is unchanged. This bill includes an individual threshold provision to guarantee that no province will get less than what had been estimated at the time of the 2004 budget. While this may seem interesting at first glance, it is always difficult—and the Minister of Finance is an expert when it comes to underestimating—to come up with accurate estimates.
In fact, under Bill C-24, Saskatchewan and British Columbia are the only ones that benefit from this measure, to the tune of amounts estimated at $581 million and $191 million respectively.
For the second year of its implementation, the bill sets out the equalization payments to be made to receiving provinces under the program. In the case of Quebec, for example, we are talking about $4.798 billion, or 44.2% of the total amount. What is rather peculiar is that the allocation between the provinces has already been definitely determined—and the term “definitely” is key here—for a fiscal year that will end in March 2006. However, we all know that the relative economic situation of the provinces does not necessarily evolve in accordance with the forecasts.
In light of the lack of accuracy of federal budget forecasts, how can this government claim to do better when it comes to the provinces? Once again, we are dealing with a federal government that claims to know the affairs of the provinces and of Quebec better than its own jurisdictions.
Third, under this bill, overall funding will increase by 3.5% for the year 2006-07, and for each subsequent year. I should point out that this is by default. A group of independent experts will conduct a review to re-examine the allocation and determine if adjustments should be made.
This committee will give advice to the government, but will not have the authority to change the overall amount. It will merely be consulted. It is the federal government which will continue to make all the decisions. When it comes to equalization, we are far from stable and predictable funding. Again, this government will make unilateral decisions, and that is very unfortunate.
As I mentioned earlier, the bill is far from solving the fiscal imbalance issue. Yet, during the last election campaign, the Prime Minister said he would launch a new era of cooperation with the provinces. The bill before us does not fulfill that objective.
The government had even agreed to amend its Speech from the Throne to include a part on the fiscal imbalance, as we call it. They call it financial pressure. Everyone but the government calls it fiscal imbalance. In its Speech from the Throne the government agreed to correct it. Bill C-24 fails to do so.
The Prime Minister has proven it. The election is over and there are no more fine speeches. He has imposed his priorities, choices and methods on the provinces despite some serious resistance. The Prime Minister did not take any account whatsoever of the true needs of Quebec and the provinces.
No change was made to the calculation method that penalizes Quebec and results in unstable and unpredictable payments.
Furthermore, the Prime Minister not only did nothing to resolve the fiscal imbalance, he still refuses to acknowledge it. Yet, a few moments ago, the Conservative colleague made reference to it: Ottawa is up to its neck in surpluses. We are talking about $60 million in surplus since 1997-98. According to the Conference Board, these figures have been raised often in this House. Bear in mind we are talking about some $166 billion by 2015. I am sure that if we updated these figures, the amount would be even higher.
In the meantime, the provinces—except Alberta—are no longer able to pay for their public services properly. A very large portion of funding in the provinces and Quebec goes to health, a very important sector, and the provinces and Quebec have great difficulty funding their other obligations.
Again, the Conference Board estimates that by 2015, the combined deficits of Quebec and the provinces will be $68 billion, another good example of the democratic deficit the Prime Minister talks about .
The democratic deficit is also a political imbalance because the government does not look after its own areas of responsibility. It can barely handle its own as it is. It is busy interfering more and more in areas under the jurisdiction of Quebec and the provinces.
From 1997-98 to 2000-01, we estimate that Ottawa spent nearly $16 billion on new initiatives in areas under the jurisdiction of Quebec and the provinces. That is outrageous. In 2003 alone, intrusions represented $81 billion, or 44% of federal spending and 55% of the government's operating expenditures. Nearly half of the spending of this government, which claims to be a federal government, was directly in areas under the jurisdiction of the provinces and Quebec.
How could we support this bill after all that I have just demonstrated?
Not only is Bill C-24 inappropriate, but the government itself is indirectly acknowledging it. How? It is acknowledging it by signing specific agreements with other provinces. Following a basely election-minded promise and an inappropriate agreement on equalization, the government had no choice. So, on January 28, the government entered into an agreement on oil revenues and equalization with Newfoundland and Labrador and Nova Scotia.
Even that agreement recognizes that Bill C-24 does not work. Under it, Ottawa will reimburse the two provinces for any loss in equalization due to offshore oil revenues until 2012. It represents a huge amount. Naturally, we are delighted for the people of Newfoundland and Labrador and Nova Scotia. We wish them all the best.
Still, we are talking about approximately $2.6 billion for Newfoundland and Labrador between now and 2012, of which $2 billion will be paid immediately in 2004-05. As for Nova Scotia, the amount involved is $1.1 billion, of which $830 million will be paid immediately. For 2004-05 alone, the amount paid to Newfoundland and Labrador will represent $3,868 per capita. For Quebec, this would mean $29 billion.
If Bill C-24 were really great, there would have been no need for an agreement on equalization. Moreover, it is an unfair agreement. Equalization was designed as an equity measure, to ensure that the provinces could provide comparable services. As they becomes more prosperous, equalization declines, and that is how it should be. The principle of equity is thrown into question by this agreement.
While Newfoundland and Labrador and Nova Scotia can get rich without having their equalization payments cut, Quebec's equalization payments are cut whenever it receives hydroelectric revenues. Is this normal? I think not. We have said it a number of times in this House: the solution lies in resolving the fiscal imbalance.
I cannot wait for June 2, when the Standing Committee on Finance's Subcommittee on Fiscal Imbalance will issue its report.
There are ways to resolve these problems. One of them is to abolish the CHST; in other words, transfer responsibility for the GST or personal income tax to the provinces.
That way, the provinces could secure more stable funding and pick their own priorities. Consequently, they would not be driven by the federal government which can change things almost at its own discretion.
However, since the reality is the equalization program does exist, it has to be improved. Bill C-24 does not meet these objectives. Why does this bill not take into consideration the fiscal capacity of ten provinces, commonly called the ten-province standard, instead of just five, as is currently the case. Why are the floor and ceiling provisions not eliminated in this bill. It would be much fairer.
The government must fully respect the representative tax system approach. This means that measurements of fiscal capacity must be based on reality and not on current estimates that can change over time. Otherwise, we end up in situations where overpayments might be made and then Quebec and the provinces have to make repayments.
Of course, this does nothing to foster balanced budgets in Quebec or any other province. This is exactly the situation in Quebec City, where the finance minister, Mr. Séguin, is trying to square the circle and, unfortunately, he will find it very difficult to make ends meet.
Many of the problems of Minister Séguin in Quebec are the direct result of the actions of the federal government, which does not take into consideration the real needs of the citizens who benefit from services provided by the provinces, specifically Quebec in the case that I am referring to.
Earlier, I mentioned the ad hoc agreement reached with Newfoundland, which also opens the door to injustice. Since revenues will be assessed by using a different formula from one province to the next, we can only arrive at results that do not accurately reflect the tax resources of each of them. Consequently, we are making equalization payments that do not meet the objective of equalization. Yet, this objective is simple: it is to ensure, through taxation, that the quality of public services is at a comparable level from one province to the next.
The Bloc Québécois, like the Séguin Commission, feels that ad hoc solutions create problems of fairness between receiving provinces and that they go against the spirit of the program. This program should normally smooth out the relative disparities between the provinces, not increase them.
As I mentioned earlier, the agreement proposes to arbitrarily exclude certain revenues, but not others. On what basis? We are not quite sure. The provinces have their own sources of revenue, including natural resources, energy, income tax, property taxes and commodity taxes. In order for the equalization program to be fair, all of these revenues must be taken into consideration. They also include royalties from mining or oil activities, and revenues from hydro dams.
Under this agreement, when it comes to calculating equalization payments, offshore oil revenues are not taken into consideration, but revenues from mining or hydroelectricity continue to be taken into account. This is not fair to Quebec. This is not a good agreement for Quebec which, incidentally, is not the only loser. Earlier, an hon. member mentioned that Saskatchewan also has problems with this agreement.
Bill C-24 does not at all alleviate the concerns that we are expressing in this House. This is unfortunate. Despite the fact that this is a minority government, all too often we feel that it is not listening to the other parties in this House.
This is unfortunate. However, we remain hopeful. We repeatedly tell them what Quebec's needs are. We repeatedly tell them what the real concerns of Quebeckers and Canadians are. We remain hopeful that, one day, they will understand.
We must not forget that this agreement gives subsidies to the oil-producing provinces. We have talked a great deal about the Kyoto protocol and its implementation. It is an example of misrepresentation by this government that, on one hand, claims to promote the Kyoto protocol and its implementation and, on the other, through special agreements, gives subsidies to the oil-producing provinces. As a result, the bill is paid by those provinces that generate hydroelectricity, a much cleaner energy source. So, once again, we come back to the polluter-paid principle and not the polluter-pay principle.
This agreement is not satisfactory for any of the provinces. Bill C-24 does not work. What do we have to do to get them to open their eyes? This agreement does not resolve the real problems of the equalization program. The current equalization formula is inadequate in terms of both its objective and its operation because the standard is inadequate. Ottawa does not take into account the revenue of all ten provinces. Thus, the average revenue is artificially lowered.
As a result, the recipient provinces have $297 less per capita than the average of the ten provinces to deliver public services. Equalization is, however, supposed to make things essentially comparable. The widest gaps are not taken into account, so the average is skewed.
Ottawa does not gauge revenues properly either. To take property tax revenues as an example, rather than measuring the tax base according to property values, the federal government has arbitrarily invented a complex formula that takes into account a whole set of economic and demographic variables.
For example, in Quebec in 2002 the residential real estate wealth per capita was $30,621. Using the federal formula, which is complex, convoluted and all but obscure, Ottawa assesses it at $71,406, 133% higher. Naturally, equalization payments are reduced accordingly.
The Minister of Finance has the nerve to tell us “Oh my, we have an unexpected surplus. We did not see it coming”. Yet when we look at calculation methods like those, we should not be surprised that the federal government has money coming out of its ears, so much so that it does not know what to do with its revenues and so takes it upon itself to interfere in areas that are the provinces' and Quebec's jurisdiction.
It is the same thing for other types of revenues, so much so that Ottawa's creative calculations no longer reflect the provinces' fiscal capacity in any way. What is more, the overall amount is clearly inadequate. In fact, calculation of the amounts of equalization does not reflect the reality of provincial tax revenues. Ottawa leaves half the provinces out of its calculations, as well as not taking all revenues into consideration, and assesses them wrongly.
This is the recipe for a financial catastrophe, and unfortunately that is just what is shaping up in the various provincial legislatures and in Quebec. Bill C-24 is badly put together and does not meet the needs of the provinces and Quebec. I will be very pleased to vote against it.