Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. I appreciate the opportunity to be here.
I represent a group called the Saskatchewan Ethanol Development Council, which grew out of an organization called Saskatchewan Agrivision, which I was directly part of. We became very aggressive with the provincial government in 2002 to convince the Saskatchewan government to be the first province in Canada to implement what we refer to as an ethanol mandate in our province. We were successful in doing that. Subsequent to that, Manitoba and Ontario, of course, have set in place similar roles.
The Ethanol Development Council is a not-for-profit organization. I am very proud of our participation from all sectors within our economy. Clearly those from Saskatchewan can understand that many of our groups have opposing points of view on many different issues. Our board is made up of APAS, Agricultural Producers Association of Saskatchewan Inc.; SARM, Saskatchewan Association of Rural Municipalities; the University of Saskatchewan; Ag-West Bio Inc.; and first nations. Quite frankly, everyone agrees on the renewable fuel objective of rural Saskatchewan and what it means to our economy.
Our objective is to promote ethanol specifically. Biodiesel, we believe, will come forward as we move forward, but we believe ethanol is a great opportunity for us in western Canada. We also believe there are some realities in agriculture that this committee must focus on and must understand.
Saskatchewan is in crisis in terms of agriculture. If you look at gross revenue per acre, in Ontario, Quebec, British Columbia, or New Brunswick you're looking at gross revenues in excess of $1,000 per acre. In Saskatchewan the average is $135 per acre.
Our solutions in agriculture cannot be incremental; they must be bold. Clearly our strategy with the Ethanol Development Council is to be bold.
The last three years of net revenue in Saskatchewan have been the three worst years in our history. In the same time period, the American farmer has had his three best years in history, and collectively the agribusiness community that supports agriculture has had the three best years in its history.
Our position with the Ethanol Development Council is that the Canadian government needs to be bold, and we're calling for a 10% renewable fuel standard. We believe 5% by 2010 is absolutely doable, but we think 10% by 2015 should be the goal. It's important for us to focus on that.
A 10% renewable fuel standard in this country will require six billion litres of material. If it is entirely a grain-based industry, it would require some 600 million bushels of grain. If you use an average yield of 30 bushels per acre, we're talking about some 20 million acres of land being required to meet that goal--20 million acres of land, ladies and gentlemen. That's not incremental. That's a bold strategy. Saskatchewan, with 50% of the farmland, can really play a dramatic role in how we move out this opportunity.
The other part of this piece is the rural economy and what it means to jobs. I can demonstrate to you economic reporting that speaks to job multipliers. Traditional manufacturing job multipliers are 3.5; in the ethanol industry, the job multiplier is 10. Fifty jobs in an ethanol plant equal 500 jobs within a 100-mile radius of that particular facility.
Those are jobs in the rural economy. They're not in centres like Winnipeg, Calgary, Saskatoon, or Regina; rather, they're in communities of 3,000 people, where jobs are important, school is important, keeping the population in place to pay the tax base is important.
We don't believe 10% is in any way not doable. Clearly we think it is doable. Our province will be at 7.5% this summer when the next newest capacity in this country comes on board in Lloydminster, Saskatchewan. We all know that Brazil is at 40%; the Americans are at 4% and heading towards 20%; Sweden is talking of 100%; the European Union is at 5.75% and is really discouraged at how slowly they are evolving. China really is going to set the tone, we believe, in the years forward in terms of their strategy on ethanol. Also, across the globe, countries like South Africa, Russia, and so on, are moving forward.
There are some huge benefits in western Canada in terms of our geographical location. We have been told our entire lives that we're landlocked, that we're disadvantaged, that we're 2,000 kilometres away from ports, but in the ethanol story we are literally in the centre of North America. We can export east, west, and south. We can supply ethanol to the Pacific northwest more cheaply than anybody in Nebraska can, and I will debate aggressively the financial viability of a wheat-based, cereal-based plant over a corn-based plant. We think we have some real opportunities.
We are also challenging where the capacity should be. We clearly believe the capacity should be where the land base is, and obviously we have some very specific issues there.
If you were to ask the average Canadian citizen where ethanol comes from, he would tell you it comes from corn. The reality today is that in our country there are six ethanol plants up and running, and two are corn-based and four are wheat-based. There'll be new capacity in Lloydminster that will be wheat-based. So by the end of 2006 or this year, there will be seven plants operating in Canada, and five will be wheat-based.
If you look at acreage collectively, western Canada has 86% of the farmland and produces 80% of the crop in this country. And of that capacity 0.004% is corn. In western Canada wheat is king, cereal crops are king, and we think there are some huge opportunities here for us.
The other part of the picture I want to talk about is really the technologies that are available, whether it's grain-based technology; whether it's what we call integrated technologies, which are tied into cattle feedlots; whether it's cellulose technology, or whether it's syngas technology, which is a wood-waste product. In Saskatchewan we have the opportunity to have all four of those facilities operating and to really be world leaders in how we roll out the opportunity.
We have world-leading knowledge in our province. The common fermentation technology used around the world for grain-based ethanol comes from the University of Saskatchewan, and Dr. Mike Ingledew. There's new raw starch hydrolysis being patented in Saskatchewan in relation to some of the benefits of reducing energy costs. The new syngas work that's being done by the Saskatchewan Research Council, we think, is very profound. We also have the Crop Development Centre, which we think will be a key to the success of the renewable fuel industry in our province, because we will and can develop crops that are high starch content and high yielding, which are really key, in our opinion. We also have the Prairie Feed Resource Centre, which will tie in the benefits of dried storage grain and wet storage grain to add more value to the ethanol industry in our part of the world.
Clearly, what do we think government or this committee must do? Those of you who have heard me speak before will know that the message is that we need champions. We need champions at the political level to take this model and move it forward. The future of agriculture is in jeopardy. The future of Saskatchewan is in jeopardy, in terms of turning into an Australian outback if we don't pay attention to what we're doing as we move forward. We cannot be incremental.
If you think of the ethanol piece, you must think about it in three different sections. The first third is, what's in it for primary producers? I'll argue that in Saskatchewan it has to be about new grain technology or new yielding varieties of grain that will give more dollars per acre. That's the first part of the piece for primary producers.
The second part of the piece for primary producers is freight. We have places in Saskatchewan where the freight rate will exceed the value of the grain. We have freight rates in Saskatchewan now where we're getting close to $2 per bushel. So those are the direct benefits to primary producers.
The third part is the community and community jobs. With all due respect, those with the deepest pockets will not build ethanol plants in communities with populations of 2,000 or 3,000; they will build it on major thoroughfares, close to major centres. That's not going to help the rural economy in terms of jobs.
The last part of that piece is ownership. Who should own those plants? We clearly believe that the federal government has to have a preferential bias in its programming to ensure that producers get into the ownership cycle. There was mention made of the Americans and the American model. If you were to type into the Renewable Fuels Association of the U.S. and look at the 101 plants that are operational today, a very large asterisk on the bottom of the page will indicate which of those facilities are farmer owned. We don't have anything like that in Canada, and I can tell you that one plant in Canada today is farmer owned.
There are an additional 20 or so plants in the U.S. that are not farmer owned, or majority owned by farmers, but where farmers are playing a role in the ownership. So farmers and producers are playing a very important role in the ownership of ethanol facilities in the United States. In this room, we need to think about that and what needs to happen.
What does the federal government have to do? First of all, it has to use financial tools and tax tools—and those cost this government nothing, but do cost it in terms of contingent liability. I'll argue that if you're going to bet on something, renewable fuel is probably one of the best bets we've ever made. And keep in mind that there has not been an industry in this country that has not had major federal government involvement. If you go back 130 years to the railway, or to what's happening today in the automotive industry or in the tar sands, governments play a role in developing industries.
The second part of that is capital grants. One of the things I really want to impress upon this group is that government has to get away from a program strategy of picking winners and losers. Among the best programs in the United States are the commodity programs of the Commodity Credit Corporation, which allow you, as a proponent group, to build your plant. The bankers and owners of those plants should make the decision as to whether the plants get built. At the end of a 12-month cycle you'll receive a cheque from the Commodity Credit Corporation equal to approximately 12% of the capital value of the plant. That's the right way to manage these things, so we can move away from this debate about economies of scale, because with all due respect, I will debate anybody in this room on economies of scale.
The USDA has four specific programs. The first is a mortgage loan guarantee program. There's a 2% premium to do that. The second program, the rural cooperative stock purchase program, allows farmers, primary producers, to invest in value-added industries. Across the piece it's $400,000, and in some states it's as much as $750,000 for one investor. The third are the programs of the USDA Commodity Credit Corporation I spoke to you about. And the last is that the Internal Revenue Service in the U.S. will provide a $1.5 million investment tax credit to a farmer-based plant every year, year in and year out.
What do we have in Canada today? Nothing yet, but I'm optimistic this group will support what we need to do.
I was recently at a conference---it was sold out, there were some 2,000 delegates---when the Secretary of Agriculture pleaded with farmers to get more involved, to get more aggressive in taking part in owning this industry. And for the record, the average American farmer is carrying about 13% debt. If you look at Saskatchewan, the debt load Saskatchewan farmers are carrying will shock you.
And lastly, what's important from our perspective is the future of agriculture in our province. It's not unique to places in Manitoba and it's not unique to what's happening in Alberta. There has been some improvement in grain prices today, but—Mr. Easter will verify this—we really haven't had any kind of crop prices in our country where farmers could be deemed to be profitable since about the mid-1970s. We're in crisis, ladies and gentlemen. Renewable fuel is a tremendous opportunity.
I'll close with what a vibrant ethanol industry, with a bias towards producer ownership, can do for western Canadian agriculture. What can a geographically central, emerging economy do for my province? The simple answer is everything.
To close, Mr. Chair, this is what is happening in Saskatchewan. This is the emerging ethanol industry. We are serious about this. We are looking for your support. We think the solutions are here. We think the opportunities are absolutely profound.
With that in mind, I thank you, Mr. Chair, and look forward to your questions.