I think in ten years we're going to see dwindling supplies of oil, which is the basis of our conventional agriculture. Our synthetic pesticides, herbicides, and fertilizers are derived that way, and our food is shipped that way. Depending on how quickly the price spike in oil happens, we're going to see the cost of our currently cheap food skyrocket.
We're going to see that the competitive advantage around organic production, where those same input costs aren't present—what is now considered an organic price premium—will come down closer to the conventional price.
I think we'll see the market even out. Conventional food will cost more, and organic food will cost less. Out of that we will probably see more organic production, because it means control over the farm effort will be held in the hands of the farmer; they can save their seeds. This isn't something that's happening under the conventional system now.
I think we're going to see a larger spike in organic production than even our sector is predicting in the ten-to-fifteen-year period.