Thank you, Mr. Chair, and good morning to the standing committee. I would like to thank you for the invitation to appear before you today.
I will address two subjects: the current performance of the prairie grain handling and transportation system, or the GHTS, as we refer to it, and then speak generally on the subject of system performance measures and their use and importance to both government and industry.
Before I begin my statement, though, I'd like to introduce myself, our company, and its role in the grain and transportation industry. I am Mark Hemmes, president of Quorum Corporation, which is one of the independent subsidiaries of the Quorum Group of Companies, of which I am also a founding partner. I have spent over 35 years involved in the transportation and logistics sector, including 23 years with Canadian National, where I held senior management positions in the marketing and operations functions.
I live and work in Edmonton, Alberta, where Quorum is based. Quorum has been under contract with Agriculture and Agri-food Canada and Transport Canada since 2001 to act as the grain monitor. We're set up as an arm’s-length monitor for Canada’s prairie GHTS. In that role we report to government, and by extension to the industry, on changes in the efficiency, reliability, structure, and operation of the grain handling and transportation system, as well as what the impacts are on producers.
First, on the topic of the performance of the grain handling and transportation system, over the eleven and a half years that we've been monitoring the GHTS, we've seen significant change, as borne out through the roughly 240 measures that we manage.
Some important indicators of that change include the following.
The proportion of cereal grains that were marketed under the mandate of the Canadian Wheat Board has fallen from 68% to less than 56%, continuing a trend of diversification into crops such as canola and peas.
On the time that grain remains within the system, one of the key performance measurements that we use in the monitoring program has fallen to just over 47 days, from a high that reached over 80 about 10 years ago. The number of elevators has dropped from about 1,200 to just over 350, and the size and the ability for loading 100-plus cars has also been dramatically increased. At the same time, elevator churn ratios have improved significantly, to 6.3 times annually, on average, from as low as 3.7 times.
One key area of focus for both the program and the shippers of grain is railway performance, and the program tracks that in two ways: one, by measuring the total cycle time, and two, by the loaded transit time. Both measures gauge how efficiently the railways utilize their fleets. Railway car cycles, for instance, have fallen to under 14 days from over 21 days 10 years ago.
An important measure for the GHTS performance is loaded transit time. It has fallen from a high of over eight days to under six days—a 25% improvement. This productivity improvement benefits the railway in the form of reduced capital costs, as fewer assets can be used to move the same volume of traffic, or through increased revenues, as a fixed asset fleet can move more traffic. The shippers benefit to the extent that the railways should be able to make more empty cars available for loading with a fixed fleet.
A measure more important, though, to grain shippers is the consistency or the reliability of the service. While the ratio we use to gauge that has improved as well—falling from 0.55 to 0.41—it must be viewed in the proper context, because in a practical sense, this means that transit time varies considerably around this average six-day transit. To plan for this variation, a shipper who gets an average transit time of six days actually needs to be prepared for a variation of between three and ten days, excluding periods of extraordinary disruption when that transit time can be longer. That kind of variability makes planning logistics very challenging for all the grain stakeholders.
I would also note that the cost of service inconsistency accrues directly to the shipper and ultimately to the producer.
Overall, we can safely state that the prairie GHTS has seen significant performance improvements over the last 12 years. That said, there are periods where one part of the supply chain or another experiences a regression in performance, and when that occurs it can extend for long periods, adding costs to the system and damage to Canada’s trading reputation.
Real change takes time to show itself. While we've seen improvement in a number of measures over the last four to five quarters, there remain areas of concern among stakeholders, such as vessel time and demurrage at port, the consistency of rail service, and the availability of railcars in the country, which is an area that we do not presently measure.
Now a few words about the current crop year and the performance that has been seen in the new post-single-desk era. While much of the base data we use in the monitoring program is not available to us yet, there are some indicators we can follow. Most significantly, the three major western ports have experienced higher overall volumes so far this year—about 5% in Vancouver, 16% in Prince Rupert, and about 20% in Thunder Bay. Also, two grain companies have reported to us that the current crop year has allowed them the ability to increase unit train loading to slightly over 80%, which is a 10% increase over last year.
I have a few quick words on Churchill. The total movement in 2012 is estimated at 430,000 metric tonnes. That's about 19% below the five-year average of approximately 500,000 tonnes annually. Part of the cause is their shipping season started more slowly than normal, as the industry adjusted to new logistics plans and alternatives. This delay has been an impediment for Churchill this year. It hurts when the shipping season is already so short. A positive for this year's movement to Churchill is the diversification of shippers, as four shippers used the facilities this year, exporting wheat, durum, barley, and canola.
With regard to the system's performance this year, it is too soon to say that the system is trending toward continued improvement based on the last 15 weeks, or that improvements that we have seen are a direct result of the removal of the single desk. Exceptionally good harvest conditions and a mild fall period have contributed to the ease of movement. Add to this the exceptional market conditions, high grain prices, and the drought in the U.S., and you can see more than a few reasons why this year might constitute a distorted benchmark for future comparison. Nonetheless, we are off to a good start.
Now a few words on measures programs in general. First, I would say that Quorum appreciates the role we have been given over the last eleven and a half years in providing relevant data and intelligence to government and industry. We feel this is vital for the continued improvement and competitive success of the industry. By now it is probably cliché to say this, but the Canadian grain supply chain is at a pinnacle of change. We have never seen as many significant initiatives, events, and challenges happening almost simultaneously as we see right now: the rail service review and its impending regulatory changes, the removal of the single desk pending changes to the Canada Grain Act, industry consolidation, as well as the entry of new entities into this market.
The GMP has also seen a transition from the simple provision of base measures 10 years ago for just a select few in government to a broadly used historical compendium of facts and figures. It is used extensively by the full range of stakeholders, from producers and producer groups to grain companies, railways, academics, bankers, and exporters. Those who are directly involved in the supply chain use the measures as benchmarks and to understand their competitive position in relation to others. Those on the periphery most often look to understand the performance and the competitive position of the Canadian supply chain and its various parts.
We have also noticed over the last 11 years that as industry has gradually transitioned to a more commercial environment, the demands of both government and industry have been maintained, and in some cases increased, to have available data on grain supply chain performance. In order for industry stakeholders to become more competitive in the global marketplace, it is essential that they fully understand their position in it. These are best accomplished by having easy access to data and statistics on the markets in which they operate and the relative performance of their supply chains.
An example can be seen in the U.S., where several government agencies support and operate a myriad of data and statistical programs—the USDA and its subordinate groups, such as GIPSA, the Surface Transportation Board, and the Federal Railroad Administration, to name a few—provide exceptional, current, and historically detailed statistical services, which are available through the Internet, that cover everything from market volumes and grain prices, to railway and shipping line performance, to freight rates and costs, and country and terminal utilization levels. These are used by all industry stakeholders so that they can better understand their competitive position.
This is the type of information that provides the necessary edge for competing in world markets and can make the GHTS as a whole more efficient.
In the course of our work, we had the good fortune to spend a great deal of time with a broad cross-section of the stakeholder community. What we hear from them is an emphatic desire for more frequent and timely reporting of the GMP measures. We have also heard from shippers on areas of concern that we do not currently measure. One of the prevalent items is that of access to rail capacity. The supply of railcars continues to be a subject of consternation, and one example of the areas we do not presently measure in the program.
Mr. Chairman, this concludes my formal remarks. It's a pleasure and honour to be given this opportunity to share some of what we do with you, and I look forward to any questions the members may have.