Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and members of the committee. I appreciate this opportunity to participate in your study of Bill C-288.
The preamble to this bill accurately describes climate change as one of the most serious threats facing humanity in Canada, one that poses significant risks to our environment, economy, society, and human health.
First, I want to make the observation that scientists do not believe in global warming. They don't have to. Global warming is not a religion. Global warming is a fact. It's not a question of whether you believe or not. The evidence for global warming is extensive, conclusive, and overwhelming. There no longer is a scientific debate about global warming. The debate has shifted to the analysis of the appropriate institutional, corporate, and individual responses to climate change.
As Dr. Burton pointed out, there are two categories of response, and those are mitigation and adaptation. My message will be similar to Dr. Burton's, although I take the slightly different approach in that I'm going to provide a review of the objectives of Bill C-288, and in particular, relative to the other proposed legislation, Bill C-30.
I'd like to congratulate the proponents of Bill C-288 for their attempt to restore Canada's commitments under the Kyoto Protocol. This international treaty is a first and major step in the effort to control greenhouse gas emissions, and thereby the rate of global warming. It establishes a common language, targets, and objectives. A single protocol supports international collaboration and cooperation. We have research projects in Chile and Ukraine, and I can tell you that because they are parties to the Kyoto Protocol, it very much facilitates our international research because we are speaking a common technical language.
A made-in-Canada solution, on the other hand, separates us from a process that was developed and monitored by an international body of scientists and decision-makers. Furthermore, the Kyoto initiative will lead to further action beyond 2012, and Canada must be involved in this further planning of science and policy to deal with the causes and impacts of climate change.
In terms of more meaningful and effective targets for controlling greenhouse gases, Bill C-288 is a major step forward relative to Bill C-30, the Clean Air Act. As climate change policy, Bill C-30 has three major flaws. First of all, Bill C-30 suggests that climate change is an air quality issue. It is not. Embedding climate change in the Clean Air Act is avoiding the real issue. Secondly, Bill C-30 sets targets for greenhouse gas emissions for the 2050s. This implies that by meeting these targets we will somehow bring climate change under control by the middle of this century. This approach demonstrates a misunderstanding of the climate system. The climate of the mid-21st century is being determined today by emissions of greenhouse gases. This is because there is a lag of several decades between activities that modify the atmosphere and the full response of the climate system. As the preamble of Bill C-288 states, the problem of climate change requires immediate action.
I refer to these flaws in Bill C-30 only because Bill C-288 addresses these and avoids them. However, there is a third shortcoming of Bill C-30 that is perpetuated by Bill C-288. Both of these bills address only a small component of Canada's commitment under the Kyoto Protocol. Bill C-288 explicitly deals only with paragraph 1 of article 3 of the Kyoto Protocol. There are 28 articles in the Kyoto Protocol, and article 3 alone has 14 paragraphs.
To this brief I have appended other articles of the Kyoto Protocol to remind the committee that Canada is also obligated to address climate change and its adverse impacts, including capacity-building and adaptation measures, facilitating adequate adaptation to climate change, cooperating in scientific and technical research and developing systematic observation systems and data archives, reducing uncertainties related to the climate system, and addressing adverse impacts of climate change and the economic and social consequences of various strategies.
We're also obligated to implement education and training programs and to strengthen national capacity, to facilitate public awareness, and to share the proceeds from certified activities to assist developing countries to meet the costs of adaptation.
I'm making the same argument we just heard from Dr. Burton, which is that we have a policy vacuum in this country with respect to the impact of and adaptation to climate change. There are no references in either Bill C-30 or Bill C-288 to these important obligations.
Canada needs a comprehensive climate change strategy to avoid the adverse consequences of climate change. Besides the mitigation of greenhouse gases, a comprehensive strategy should address our understanding of the climate system; the influence of human activities; the impacts of climate change; the risks and the opportunities; and the necessary adjustments to public policy, resource management, engineering practices, and infrastructure design.
By focusing public policy on only one of these five components of a climate change strategy, Canada is at risk of failing to meet its treaty obligations, and in general, Canada is failing to deal with climate change.
I want to conclude by describing the impacts of climate change in my home region, the prairie provinces. I'm with a research institute called the Prairie Adaptation Research Collaborative, or PARC, based at the University of Regina. PARC was established with funding from the federal government and the governments of the prairie provinces. We were asked to research the impacts of climate change on the prairie provinces.
Currently, PARC is responsible for preparing the Prairies chapter of the national assessment of climate change that the Government of Canada will release next year. Therefore, I can tell you with confidence that the climate of the prairie provinces is changing dramatically. All the weather records show this. Summer river flows are declining as the Rocky Mountain glaciers are disappearing and as warmer winters are producing less snow and ice for the spring runoff.
The growing season is getting longer and warmer; however, the productivity of the forests and the farms is constrained by declining water supplies. The recent weather has included the worst drought since the Prairies were settled by Europeans. It also has included the worst flooding. The drought of 2001-02 cost the economies of Alberta and Saskatchewan $3.6 billion. This is in reference to the adaptation deficit Dr. Burton mentioned.
Ecosystems have begun to change. There are threats to the integrity of the ecological services that support agriculture, forestry, the recycling of water, and the traditional lifestyles of our first nations.
The Rocky Mountain pine beetle has devastated the B.C. forests. This year it skipped over the Rocky Mountains. It now exists in Alberta, and there is a real threat that the boreal forests of Canada will be devastated by the pine beetle because it is surviving the warmer winters.
Finally, these shorter winters are also a problem for northern industries that require frozen ground to move materials and supplies. We are losing the advantages of a cold winter in the interior of Canada.
These are just some of the changes that Canadian scientists have documented for our region. Please note that I made no mention of air quality. The impacts of climate change are occurring first in the Arctic and the Prairies, where air quality is just fine, thank you, except for maybe Calgary or Edmonton.
The rate of climate change and its consequences will almost certainly accelerate through the coming decades, and until we are able to retard the rate of greenhouse gas emissions, as a Canadian citizen and a climate change scientist, I am deeply concerned by actions that would have Canada undermine our international treaty on climate change. I'm also deeply concerned by the lack of action to deal with the climate change and impacts that are presently occurring.
Our children and their children urgently need your leadership to create public policy that will reduce greenhouse gases as quickly and as much as possible. However, we also need your help to enable individuals, institutions, communities, and industries to adapt to the impacts of a rapidly changing climate. These impacts are already serious, and we are already locked into more severe impacts in the immediate future.
Thank you.