First, thank you for your question, Mr. Chair.
This is an important question. I'm happy to have a chance to respond to it. Basically, when you look at the website, what you see is the historical path of emissions and then three additional pieces of information for 2020, which is the target year.
The first piece is where we think the Canadian economy would be if there had been no government action. When I say “no government action”, I mean not just federal government action, but also provincial government action. Environment Canada, under Michael Keenan, runs a sophisticated model to do these kinds of estimates, but they are estimates. Our measure of the 2020 amount would be about 850 megatonnes, with no government action.
With the actions that have been taken so far—that have been announced so far—both federal and provincial, we believe that we will be in 2020 at about 785. That brings us down about 65 megatonnes, which is about a quarter of the distance that we have to go to reach our target in 2020—607 megatonnes. That's why the minister says the actions that have been taken to date move us about a quarter of the distance that we have to go to reach our target in 2020. We readily acknowledge that there's still lots more work to do. We have to go from 785 down to 607.