Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for inviting us to be here today.
My name is Gary Friend, and I'm president of the Canadian Home Builders' Association.
Let me begin by introducing John Kenward, chief operating officer of the Canadian Home Builders' Association.
I'm a new home builder from Surrey, British Columbia, and for more than 25 years I've been building single-family homes. Most recently my company has been focused on low-rise wood frame condominium projects in the Vancouver suburbs.
The Canadian Home Builders' Association represents Canada's residential construction industry. Our members includes new home builders, renovators, developers, suppliers, trades, manufacturers, lenders, and other professionals. The CHBA has more than 50 local home builders' associations and eight provincial associations.
A year ago we were very unsure about the future; the impact of reports about collapsing housing markets was weighing heavily on our industry. Earlier this year we were experiencing even greater uncertainty with the declaration that global economic conditions rivalled the Great Depression.
I won't go into detail other than to say that we commend the federal government for its fiscal measures and the Bank of Canada for its monetary approach. We were fortunate, indeed, to have a strong financial system and a responsible mortgage insurance environment due to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation.
Looking forward, CMHC's medium-term forecast indicates that starts will rise to 150,300 in 2010 and will gradually increase to more than 175,000 starts by 2013. This is a very robust level of housing activity, well above the averages of the 1990s.
On the renovation front, we expect that renovation spending should continue to be strong. Since the early 1990s, renovation expenditures have been greater than the expenditures on new housing construction. Spending on residential renovations is forecast by CMHC to total roughly $51 billion in 2009, down slightly from the estimated $53 billion in 2008.
The picture I am painting is of an industry that has the potential to continue to make a substantial contribution to Canada's economic recovery and the economy over the long term. However, as the Governor of the Bank of Canada has observed, the recovery is accompanied by significant fragilities.
Beyond those fragilities, we have other concerns. Let me address three of them in brief: first, the proposed harmonized sales tax in British Columbia and Ontario; second, the underground cash economy, particularly in the renovation sector; and third, the federal tax regime for purpose-built rental housing.
Let me emphasize that our industry believes that tax harmonization is good for Canada's economy and competitive position. That being said, it is important to note that harmonization has a particularly significant impact on the housing industry and on housing affordability. This was recognized by the federal government when it implemented the GST in 1991. A GST new housing rebate was introduced, with a commitment to adjust the rebate over time to protect housing affordability.
Unfortunately, the rebate has not been adjusted, even though Canada's new house price index has increases of more than 50%. Tax harmonization will add substantially to the tax burden on new housing and, therefore, the price of new housing. As well, harmonization will nullify the benefits that came with the reduction of the GST rate from 7% to 5%.
Consequently, in order to protect housing affordability under tax harmonization, and given that the current GST rebate thresholds are frozen, the CHBA calls on the federal government to adopt the rebate approach being proposed by Ontario and B.C., with a commitment to adjust the thresholds in the future, in line with rising housing prices.
Tax harmonization will also further increase the tax burden on renovation work. The federal government did not provide a renovation tax rebate when it implemented the GST, resulting in a substantial additional tax burden on Canadians carrying out renovations using the services of tax-paying renovators. This tax burden will be exacerbated by the proposed HST in Ontario and B.C.
As a result, the CHBA calls upon the federal government to introduce a renovation tax credit to achieve revenue neutrality with the pre-1991 federal sales taxes on renovations. In this regard, I should note that harmonization in Atlantic Canada, which did not include the renovation tax rebate, led to a dramatic increase in the underground cash economy.
With respect to the underground cash economy, we have two points to make. The contract payment reporting system should be replaced with an effective approach to change the underground cash economy.
In sum, Mr. Chairman, we are nervously optimistic about the future. As I've said, the industry has great potential. There has been pronounced improvement in housing activity over the last little while. Nevertheless, we believe that caution should prevail. We need more evidence that the economic conditions are clearly in place for stronger markets going forward.
I can tell you, on a more personal basis, that recently I have been experiencing slower activity.
In an economic environment with significant fragilities, we have to be concerned about what the consequences will be for our industry and consumers of such new factors as tax harmonization.
We're leaving you with two reports from the CHBA, one on long-term housing demand and another on Canadian housing performance and trends.
Thank you.