Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
It is my pleasure to present to the committee the point of view of the Confédération des syndicats nationaux, a union organization representing slightly more than 300,000 members.
The government is pleased to say that the recession is over and that the priority now is budget deficit reduction. However, the situation is not as simple as that. According to the most recent estimates of the Bank of Canada, economic growth slowed sharply in the third quarter of 2010 and will be slow in the medium term. The unemployment rate remains high and job creation anticipated between now and 2012 will not quickly return the unemployment rate to its pre-recession level.
The housing sector and household consumption spending will not be as dynamic as in recent years, particularly as a result of growing personal indebtedness. Net export growth is also jeopardized by current turbulence in the exchange markets. However, a number of development countries, the United States in particular, need to export in order to put the recession behind them and resume economic growth.
In these circumstances, it is the CSN's view that the government should continue to use all the levers at its disposal to support economic growth. Launching into a policy of fiscal austerity and deficit fighting when the recovery is so tenuous would be ill-advised, particularly since Canada still has appreciable fiscal leeway relative to the other developed countries. While most developed countries have understood that higher taxes will be necessary in order to put their public finances in order, Canada is artificially increasing its budget deficits by continuing to grant lower taxes to businesses. In CSN's view, in the present circumstances, the budget cuts granted to businesses are unlikely to result in renewed investment. On the other hand, public spending is still necessary in order to support economic activity.
The infrastructure programs under the government's recovery plan include deadlines. Work must be completed by those dates, failing which federal funding will not be accessible. Those deadlines are unrealistic and must be pushed back. First, the fact that negotiations between the federal and Quebec governments have dragged on puts Quebec's municipalities at a disadvantage. According to the president of the Quebec government's treasury board, a strict application of federal rules could deprive Quebec municipalities of approximately $200 million. Second, confirming those deadlines is having harmful effects. The construction sector, which is an asset from a municipal infrastructure standpoint, is currently so overheated that we are seeing labour and materials shortages, which are inflating project costs. The Canadian government must agree to the motion unanimously passed by Quebec's National Assembly on September 29 seeking postponement of the deadlines applicable to infrastructure programs.
Even though the agreement on federal health transfers to the provinces does not have to be negotiated until 2014, the parties are already beginning to stake out their positions. This summer, Canada's Minister of Finance informed us that, in view of the series of budget deficits Canada is facing, the provinces can no longer necessarily count on the generosity Canada has shown to date. The minister is wrong to suggest that the provinces should align growth in health spending with that of provincial GDP. Those two growth rates are absolutely unrelated, and there is no reason, except for purely accounting grounds, for them to be equal. CSN expects that, by 2014, the government will meet its commitments and not eliminate the anticipated budget deficits by cutting transfers to the provinces in respect of social programs, particularly health, but also postsecondary education.
The Canada Employment Insurance Financing Board intended to increase employee contributions to the employment insurance program by 15¢ in January 2011, but, once again, the Minister of Finance has suspended the powers of that so-called independent agency. On September 30, it announced that the increase in premiums would be limited instead to 5¢ per $100 of insurable earnings for 2011 and 10¢ for subsequent years until the employment insurance account is balanced. CSN would have preferred the premium rate to be increased by 15¢ and the board to be allowed to do its job. That would have permitted an improvement in the employment insurance program in the context of an economic recovery that looks as though it will be slower than anticipated. The federal government's decision cuts $1.2 billion to unemployed workers in 2011 and $600 million in subsequent years.
In addition, Canada's inadequate employment insurance program puts considerable additional pressure on the provinces' income security programs. The federal contribution to those programs was moreover cut in the 1990s in the wake of federal transfers reform. CSN believes it is urgently necessary to make changes to the employment insurance system to improve accessibility, increase benefit rates and abolish the qualifying period.
CSN deplores the fact that the federal government has decided to go ahead with the plan to establish a federal securities commission. This field has always been under provincial jurisdiction. The Canadian securities regulation system, although decentralized, is one of the best in the world, according to studies by the OECD and the IMF, outstripping the national regulatory agencies of the United States, United Kingdom and Australia.
The federal securities commission plan clearly jeopardizes Quebec's financial industry. In addition to destroying financial sector jobs, the establishment of a federal securities commission would strip Quebec of a major economic development lever.
In the wake of the shocks to the goods production industry as a result of the Canadian dollar's appreciation against the U.S. dollar, the sharp rise of the emerging countries, the economic problems of the United States and the predictable increase in energy prices, specific measures should be taken to preserve entire segments of the manufacturing and forest sectors.
The Government of Canada must assert its leadership and put in place an industrial policy worthy of that name. Paradoxically, the provincial governments, particularly that of Quebec, are more active than the federal government in assisting distressed sectors, which makes no sense in view of the provinces' reduced fiscal leeway.
The oil boom is largely responsible for the appreciation of the Canadian dollar relative to its U.S. counterpart, but the emerging countries' exit from the crisis, which has been more convincing than that of the developed countries, has resulted in upward pressure on the prices of commodities, including, quite obviously, oil. As a result, the Canadian dollar is approaching parity with the U.S. currency, which once again threatens manufacturing and forest exports.