I would like to thank the committee for inviting me to speak today.
My name is Mike Moffatt. I'm a professor in the business, economics and public policy group at the Richard Ivey School of Business. I have researched and taught international trade for a number of years at Ivey. As well, I have spent the last eight years as a private sector trade and regulatory consultant to the chemical industry.
I'm here to discuss two tariff changes in Budget 2013, the first of which, the elimination of tariffs on baby clothing and some sporting equipment, is greatly welcomed.
The second, the so-called modernization of Canada's general preferential tariff program, or GPT program, has serious unintended consequences and should be reconsidered. Fortunately, there is time to do so as the GPT changes are not a part of Bill C-60.
There are a lot of things to like about the government's two proposed tariff changes as they address three existing drawbacks to the customs tariff. The first is that the customs tariff is out of date, with the obvious examples of tariffs designed to protect industries in Canada that no longer exist, such as hockey equipment manufacturing. The general preferential tariff is out of date. I'm in full agreement with the government that changes are needed here, and exporting powerhouses such as China and Korea no longer need preferential tariff treatment.
The second difficulty is that for many products, high tariffs are contributing to the price gap between American and Canadian product retail prices, as described in the report of the Standing Senate Committee on National Finance. The government has taken a step in the right direction here through this elimination of tariffs on sporting goods and baby clothes.
The third difficulty is the sheer complexity of the customs tariff. The so-called iPod tax is a prime example, with importers left not knowing the steps they need to take to be eligible for the 9948 exemption.
Another example of the complexity of this system is the fact that hockey helmets were originally erroneously left out of the tariff reductions, and this omission took weeks to detect. I have to admit, I completely missed it myself.
Given this complexity, it is no wonder that past reports of the Auditor General have identified an alarming rate of errors and discrepancies in tariff classifications of importers. Much more needs to be done to simplify the system, but the government's move here to increase the number of zero-rated goods is definitely a step in the right direction.
Now that I have told you what I think is right with the changes, I'm going to focus on their drawbacks. The most obvious drawback is that it's going to raise the tariff on thousands of goods. These tariffs really aren't going to be paid for by Chinese companies; rather, they're paid for by Canadian importers and retailers and, at the end of the day, by Canadian consumers.
The net effect will be to increase this price gap with the United States, which is already one of the big problems with the customs tariff. This will inevitably lead to an increase in cross-border shopping. The border town of Windsor, Ontario, for example—in my neighbourhood—has an unemployment rate of 9.6%, so the last thing it needs is a decline in the retail sector.
There is a far simpler way to modernize the tariff system while also addressing the price gap and complexity issues. Once Canada and the EU sign a free trade agreement, which we're told should be coming in a matter of weeks, there will be only 16 jurisdictions, representing roughly 5% of Canadian imports into Canada, that will fall under the highest most favoured nation, MFN, tariff treatment.
There will only be 16 nations that have worse tariff treatments than China and Korea. If we want to make a level playing field, all we need to do is reduce the tariff treatment on those 16 nations down to the GPT level by basically harmonizing the most favoured nation and the general protective tariff treatments. This would greatly simplify the tax code as we'd be eliminating a tariff treatment entirely, and this would reduce the tax bill on Canadian importers, retailers, and Canadian consumers, leading to a reduction in the retail price gap.
My professional recommendation is that, before implementing tariff changes, the advice contained in the Senate report of a comprehensive review of Canadian tariffs be followed. This review should include a full costing of harmonizing the GPT and MFN tariff treatments.
Thank you for having me, and I look forward to your questions.