Hello there. Thank you very much for the opportunity to present today. My name is Ben Brunnen. I'm director of policy and government affairs, and I'm chief economist with the Calgary chamber.
The Calgary chamber represents about 2,200 businesses within the Calgary region, and I'm speaking today on their behalf as we assist you in creating the best environment for Canadians: to live, work, invest, and raise their families.
My remarks today are based on three main themes from our pre-budget submission: principled expenditure management, employment insurance amendments, and enhanced foreign investment rules.
First, from a principled expenditure management perspective, with a favourable debt-to-GDP level and reasonably strong economic growth, Canada is the envy of the developed world. However, the risk of a global recession is higher than it has been since 2008. As such, we cannot be complacent. The chamber urges the federal government to apply prudent fiscal management policies to program expenditures, positioning Canada for stable long-term growth. This approach is beneficial in that it establishes future spending parameters in the context of the current fiscal climate and spending constraints. It also sends a credible signal to the business community that the federal government is committed to returning Canada to balanced budgets.
The chamber suggests that the government adopt a bandwidth approach to spending by targeting expenditure increases within a range delineated by population and inflation growth and real GDP and inflation growth, also known as our smart spending bandwidth, which we presented previously as well. This range is between 2.6% and 3.0% for 2013-14, using a five-year average.
Second, I'd like to talk about amendments to federal employment insurance. With demographic pressures and a strong investment climate, labour shortages are expected to be a long-run concern for the Canadian economy and a top priority for Calgary chamber members. The chamber suggests that the federal government introduce amendments to the EI program so that it is structured as a true insurance program similar to car insurance. The social program aspects should be moved to other programs, but still funded, similar to the Quebec government's parental insurance program. This restructuring of the EI program would facilitate the reduction of EI premiums, thereby reducing real wage costs to employers and increasing the real wages received by employees. This would create a stronger link between amount paid and benefits received.
We also encourage the federal government to adopt variable premium payments for the EI program, based on the program’s 58 established economic regions. Areas of consistently high unemployment, with correspondingly higher benefits paid, would pay relatively higher premiums, and vice versa. This would eliminate the implicit redistributed properties of the EI program that discourage employers and employees from finding solutions to chronic unemployment challenges and would facilitate labour mobility. Our end goal is to improve the labour market and reduce distortions in the job market, ultimately positioning Canada for a more competitive and economically prosperous future.
Finally, I'd like to talk about enhanced foreign investment rules. Expanding trade agreements and encouraging foreign investment in Canada is critical to our long-term prosperity. A recent focus on foreign interest in the Canadian energy sector has once again called into question Canadian government policy regarding foreign investment and acquisition of Canadian resources by foreign investors. In the last decade, approximately half of all merger and acquisition activity in Alberta's oil sands involved foreign companies, and that's a value of $30 billion.
Foreign investment is particularly critical for the oil sands because of the capital-intensive nature of the industry. Without it, there could be as much as 40% less oil sands investment in our province. With Alberta recognized as having among the largest proven oil reserves in the world, foreign interest in the oil sands is increasingly coming from emerging economies, particularly in Asia, whose growth trajectory suggests a long-term insatiable demand for energy.
However, Canada needs to update the Investment Canada Act to be able to respond and embrace foreign investment in our country. The recent decision to postpone the $6 billion Petronas takeover of Progress Energy has raised concerns around the clarity of the net benefit test and the interest regarding state-owned companies and Canadian natural resource assets. Looking ahead, the proposed $15 billion acquisition of Nexen by state-owned CNOOC is likely only the beginning of a long line of potential foreign takeovers of Canadian energy assets.
The Calgary chamber is asking the federal government to undertake a comprehensive, stand-alone review of the 1985 Investment Canada Act. We recommend that it be separate from the Budget Implementation Act and provide a broad and fulsome public debate. Specifically, we'd like to see the government clarify the net benefit test, as outlined in section 20 of the act, to streamline the wording, prioritize and focus the essence of the test, and establish parameters therein. We also recommend including parameters around reciprocity and the net benefit test, increasing substantially the threshold at which the federal government is legislated to undertake a review, improving the transparency of decisions so that third parties considering deals can assess their chances at meeting requirements, and setting specific criteria for state-owned companies to meet net benefit requirements in order to protect the Canadian economy from potential foreign government interference.
The current challenge for investors and Canadian companies is that nobody knows exactly how the rules will be applied in their particular case or how they should interpret the act and what they can do better in the future.
Thank you very much for inviting the Calgary chamber to present to the House of Commons finance committee. I look forward to responding to any questions you might have.