Thank you, Chair. Good morning both to you and to honourable members of the committee.
I'm delighted to have been invited to offer my views on the Canadian renminbi trading centre. I am here as an individual with no particular special interest to advance or to represent.
As to my training and career, you introduced me as a professor, Chair, and I'm a sometime professor, having retired from the federal public service in 2006, leaving the government as the first and founding chief economist of the Department of Foreign Affairs, Trade, and Development. I'm an international trade specialist and economist with a particular interest in how the international trade and the investment regime is influenced and shaped by the international financial system and by domestic economic, social, cultural, and political factors.
Although I'm not a China expert—I'll be the first to admit it—I might add that my interest in that country dates from a very early age. I remember well a distant and squeaky voice on the radio on October 1, 1949, proclaiming the People's Republic of China. I remember my father at the time telling me that this was and would be one of the most major developments in my lifetime and I think he was probably right.
Some 12 years later, as a young adult spending time on the beach at Spanish Banks —those of you from the Greater Vancouver area will know what I'm referring to, overlooking Burrard Inlet—I was looking out at what seemed to be a long line of massive ships full of Canadian wheat destined for China. This is a major event in Canada's economic history and in modern Canada-China bilateral relations that was referred to last week by several of your witnesses here at committee.
Let me make three points. I was always trained to be pithy. Earlier ministers and a prime minister whom I served always said that if I wasn't able to summarize my argument from the second floor of the Parliament Buildings to the first, it was too long. So I'll be very brief.
The creation of a Canadian RMB trading centre, as all your previous witnesses have said, is undoubtedly very good news for Canada, very good news for our financial services sector, and for Canadian commercial enterprises large and small, particularly medium and small business, which I know this committee has been focusing on.
If the concept is explained extensively and clearly to all those involved, or those potentially involved across the country and even abroad, particularly throughout the Americas, before other hubs in our hemisphere come into being, the new Canadian RMB trading centre will be of clear net benefit to us. Amongst all the benefits alluded to earlier in testimony—I've had a chance to read much of it, such as lower transaction costs, better efficiency, etc.—it will further strengthen our already strong and growing financial services sector.
Canadians often seem to forget or to overlook the fact that this country is running a surplus, since 2010 in fact, on our balance of payments in the services account or in the commercial services account. We tend to focus only on merchandise trade. This ongoing strength of ours in the services area, the commercial services area internationally, including financial services, bodes well for our future prospects in the so-called new economy.
Second, the clearing and settlement of financial accounts, important as it is, by no means is the whole story when it comes to international trade activity and performance. In the longer scheme of things it is only a small yet important part. International commercial activity depends largely on what each country can produce, what the other country or countries want from us, and at what price; in other words, supply and demand.
Finally, my third point is that it is important to re-emphasize throughout your consideration, and this discussion, the central role of the United States dollar in global financial transactions. The U.S. dollar won't even be remotely challenged by developments in front of the committee.
Let me say that the process is an ongoing and expected normal result of China's increased share of global trade and investment. We all hope that China's cautious and controlled approach to these matters today will continue well into the future, including what I thought in my presentation might be called “China's peaceful rise in financial markets”.
Thank you, Chair.