Thank you, Chair. That's becoming a common mistake for me, so I will reinforce that I am not related to our cherished finance minister.
Thank you for the opportunity to be here today to share the small business owner perspective on premium increases to the Canada pension plan. You should have a slide presentation in front of you that I'd like to walk you through in the next few minutes.
As many members know, CFIB is a not-for-profit, non-partisan organization, representing more than 109,000 small and medium-sized businesses across Canada. Our members represent all sectors of the economy and are found in every region of the country. It's important to remember that Canada's SMEs employ 70% of Canadians working in the private sector, are responsible for the bulk of new job creation, and represent about half of Canada's GDP. Addressing issues of importance to them can have a widespread impact on job creation and the economy.
The CFIB takes its direction solely from our members through a variety of surveys throughout the year. In all previous member surveys on this topic, a strong majority of our members have told us they will be directly impacted by CPP premium increases.
The state of the economy has a big impact on small businesses and the middle class. One of the surveys that CFIB conducts is our monthly business barometer. Our latest barometer shows that small business confidence dropped in October, sitting at 57.7, one point down from its previous barometer in September. Ideally, we want to see this indexed between 65 and 70 when the economy is growing at its full potential.
Although employment plans tend to fluctuate seasonally, this October's downward turn was far sharper than usual. As you see on slide 4, the blue line shows the percentage of respondents planning to hire, and that is 10. The red line is those planning to lay off, which is 21. Normally, we like to see these lines quite far apart, as we did in earlier 2016.
Like many other government programs, the biggest issue around CPP increases is awareness. As you can see, 40% of Canadians think the government pays into their portion of CPP, and nearly three-quarters of Canadians don't realize that current retirees will not benefit from the proposed expansion. In fact, nearly one-quarter of current retirees wrongly believe that they will see larger CPP benefits as a result of the proposed expansion. It is unclear to most Canadians that it will take up to 40 years of increased premiums in order for a worker to see the full impact of these increases in their CPP benefits.
Small business owners don't have money hiding under the mattress waiting for government tax hikes. If CPP/QPP is increased, even if it results in higher future benefits, two-thirds of business owners indicated they would feel pressure to freeze or cut salaries, while nearly half would be forced to reduce investments in their businesses. This impact comes at a time when the government is trying to encourage innovation, investment in business, and job creation in small firms.
Employed Canadians also oppose a CPP hike. Nearly 70% indicated they opposed an increase if the consequences meant a freeze in their wages or salary, while 83% were opposed to the plan if increases led to a cut in their wages or salary.
As you can see, if employed Canadians had extra money to save for retirement, they would first invest in RRSPs and TFSAs over other savings vehicles such as the CPP/QPP. Small business employers also favour such saving vehicles if they have the opportunity to contribute toward the retirement savings of their employees.
If the government is trying to help Canadians save more for retirement, only 18% of Canadians are choosing mandatory CPP increases. There is a variety of other options available, including reducing taxes, creating new incentives for savings, and allowing employees to voluntarily contribute to their own CPP/QPP. Putting pressure on financial institutions to lower their management fees for retirement savings vehicles is also an important consideration.
It is clear that Canadians are uninformed about CPP and want the government to consult with them before proceeding with their plans to expand. Nearly 80% of Canadians, many of whom form the middle class, want to share their views with government. Small business owners also want the opportunity to engage with government on this issue, as 90% of them indicated.
We strongly recommend that the federal government encourage their provincial counterparts to engage in consultation. We also ask the federal government to recall their promise made in budget 2016, where they said, “The Government will launch consultations to give Canadians an opportunity to share their views on enhancing the Canada Pension Plan.”
Finally, if the government does intend to go ahead without consulting Canadians, we suggest they adopt the following mitigating measures.
First, they exempt the first $27,000 of income from additional CPP increases, similar to what the Quebec government is proposing. Second, they could offer up tax savings by sticking to their promise to reduce the small business tax rate. Third, they implement a permanent, lower El rate for small businesses. Lastly, they exempt self-employed Canadians, who pay double the amount of CPP, from these increases.
This concludes my remarks. Thank you for the opportunity. I'm happy to take your questions.