Thank you. It's a good question.
When you look at the Maritimes, we're similar when we look at Nova Scotia, New Brunswick and P.E.I., and even with Charlottetown, Halifax and Moncton. I would not want to be in downtown Toronto running a restaurant. I fully appreciate that they've been going about a year....
When I look at what's going on here, a lot of restaurants in Atlantic Canada are single-operator, owned by a husband and wife who run them. Everybody was very worried. They didn't want to take on more debt, because they couldn't afford to pay it back.
When a few programs came out, I think everybody in our world was looking at the programs and how you can take care of yourself first. When you say $170,000 in debt, I would think that the very small operator in Atlantic Canada will be looking at that $40,000 to $60,000 federal loan first. They would capitalize on that and use that.
Definitely the wage program was a big one. In Prince Edward Island, we had another program that the provincial government put out on interest relief on your debt. That was another piece. Everybody looked at the different options they had to help them get through it. With 2020, I think everybody was able to find a way to get through to now.
We're in our second winter with this. When you look at a seasonal operation, they lose their money, and in June they hope.... We're coming into this year. We don't predict this year. We're looking ourselves at about 70% to 75% of 2019's volume. That's what we predicted. Now, is it going to be better or worse? Who knows. However, you can't operate a business at that level.
With us personally, when you look at our company, absolutely we've taken on more debt. We used whatever programs we could to say to ourselves that it is sustainable and that we can pay it back.
When I look at the group around the table, the 25 business people and what they're doing, $100,000 to $150,000 would not be out of line. What they're asking themselves now is whether they would be better staying closed in 2021 than opening. They're planning hiring right now. Well, the next month they either have to hire or they don't hire. To ramp up most of these businesses, they're going to invest $25,000 to $50,000 to do that.
I know one our colleagues, Shaw's Hotel—one of the oldest hotels in the country, out of Brackley Beach—figured it would cost $125,000 to $150,000 to stay shut: Don't open. Don't employ a person. You know what? He opened last year because of the programs.
That's why I think that, for us, it's to get the message to seasonal operators sooner rather than later of what the answer is. If it's no, then they can at least plan. If it's yes, they're going to say let's get at it. We all want to be in business. We all want to open.
Another fact is that last year, when we shut down, we laid off 500 employees in three days. We did not do a summer hire last year. That's sad, because it was students who were getting affected there. Now, hopefully, we'll be back next year.