It is very good news that after five long years of waiting, small and medium-sized firms are going to see government make good on its commitments to rebate a small portion of carbon tax revenues to SMEs. We at CFIB estimate that businesses in general pay 40% of the cost of the carbon tax, but to date they've received almost none of the revenue back. Also, the $2.5 billion that has been sitting on the books of the Government of Canada obviously prevents the government from making a credible case that the tax is in fact revenue-neutral. It is really good news that the government is intending—I hope—to give that money back to small businesses later this year.
The breakthrough was significantly expanding the eligibility rules. Under the previous scenario proposed by government and planned for over the course of the past five years, the intention was to give the money back to only emissions-intensive, trade-exposed businesses. Government documents suggest that might have been only about 20,000 businesses. With the change that has been made, 600,000 small and medium-sized businesses will be getting back a portion of the carbon tax revenue. That is certainly good news.
We don't yet know the dollar amount, so we're waiting. There are a whole host of details that need to come back, but this is positive and we have received it as such with the 2024 budget package.