We look to the IPCC, the IEA's 1.5°C scenario and say that's the trajectory we need to be on. In the IEA it's that overall global oil and gas production is down by 25% by 2050. I do think oil and gas is going to be phased out within my children's lifetimes, but perhaps not within mine. I'm also mid-fifties, so take that with what you will.
On June 13th, 2023. See this statement in context.