Thank you.
Good afternoon. I'll give you a little bit of background about myself and make a few comments that I think are relevant to this issue. I'll keep within the timeframe.
I have a doctorate from McGill University in biological oceanography. I've been teaching in fisheries and aquaculture for about 30 years ad retired from teaching about five or six years ago. I taught in Alert Bay and also in Nanaimo at Vancouver Island University.
My specialties include salmonid culture, salmonid biology, invertebrate biology, shellfish culture, and marine ecology. Regarding sea lice, I've had some field experience in the Broughtons and in the Gulf Islands over about three or four years. I was on the scientific advisory committee of the Pacific Salmon Forum, and I'm currently the director of the Institute for Coastal Research at Vancouver Island University and also a research associate at the Centre for Shellfish Research at VIU.
I want to make some disclaimers. I didn't have much time to prepare for this session--actually, just yesterday. There are some areas where I don't feel that I have expertise, so if there is any question you ask me on which I feel that I'm not up to speed with the literature, or that I feel is out of my area of expertise, I will certainly let you know.
The main point I want to make--and probably you've heard quite a few of these by now--is that a lot of money has been spent on the issue of sea lice, salmon farms, and wild salmon. I've guessed $20 million over the last decade; other people have suggested $30 million or more.
But a lot of this research was aimed at proving or disproving that salmon farms had an effect, via sea lice, on pink salmon populations. Consequently, a lot of the research did not address, in my view, critical areas of knowledge, which we need to resolve this issue.
For example, we really don't know how sea lice, in the infective stage, which is very rare in the plankton, find their host, the pink fry. We know they do, but we don't know how they do, and this is something you have to know, really, for any epidemiological study. It affects the models you would use to describe an infection and it could affect approaches to management.
We still have only a cursory understanding of how the ongoing sea lice infection on the high seas maintains itself. How that's transferred in areas without salmon farms, for example, to young fish, and their inshore and offshore life histories, we don't really know, despite many theories.
Another problem is that the sea lice we have in B.C.--and I know you've heard this before--are probably a different species. Genomics work indicates that they're different, and that stands to reason. Consequently, a lot of the information from research done in Europe over a longer time period can't be used with confidence. We don't know enough about the relative effect of temperature and salinity on our species of sea louse. We don't know enough about the precise interactions between the parasite and the host immune system, and that's very important.
We do know that Pacific salmon have a strong natural resistance to sea lice, and in other words, it's a well-adapted parasite here. But there are many other things we don't know because we're dealing with a new species, and we didn't realize this when this issue began.
Another aspect of the issue that I think you all are probably too well aware of is the rather intense polarization in British Columbia. Science works on debate, and that's fine, but the intensity of the debate here on this issue is very, very high.
It's greater than normal, in my view, and it's very persistent, so much so that we can find highly accomplished scientists on both sides of the issue saying opposite things and disagreeing strongly with each other. This makes it hard for the non-specialists to make a judgment when they are being told completely different things by highly qualified scientists. That's a serious problem.
Another issue that seems very important to me—although I don't know how many scientists would agree with this—is that despite all the research we do in the natural sciences, in biology and oceanography and so forth, it does not seem to solve the issue. We go from one issue to another, because the real question, I think, is whether we should have a salmon farming industry in B.C. at all. Some people feel we should, and some people feel we should not. This is the issue of the social acceptance of salmon farming.
Although all of these issues get expressed as issues of environmental concern and environmental impact, including issues of the negative effects on wild fish, I think the real issues may lie elsewhere, because we never seem to resolve them. No matter how much science we do, the argument is still healthy and alive.
I'd be happy to come back to this later, if you would like, but I think the social sciences may have as many answers for us as the natural sciences, and that's something we haven't really started to get to yet in British Columbia.
I have a couple of basic points to make. I think we were absolutely right to address the sea lice issue when it first arose about a decade ago, because it had already been an issue in Europe for some years.
But the issue here was a political one right from the start, when a large number of sea lice were seen on pink fry by local people in the province after the largest escapement of pink salmon in recorded history. They noticed sea lice on the fish, and then, a year later in 2002, in the return, the population had crashed.
The population went down from about 300 million fish to 50 million fish in one generation. That's an enormous crash. It's not unusual for pink salmon...but this was extreme. So it would be natural to look at sea lice, but sea lice were raised as the issue right off the bat by people living in that area of the province, and by people who had been trying to remove salmon farms from the area for some years.
There are a number of other quite legitimate reasons for the crash in the pink salmon population. For example, we could have too many fry for the food resource available. That's density-dependent mortality. It's a cornerstone of modern ecology and also of fisheries management. The food abundance and the timing of the emergence of the fry might have been out of whack. The fish might have been early or the food late in developing. That's a known phenomenon. Ocean conditions farther out at sea could have had an affect.
I'm not saying that these factors were in operation, but because pink salmon are known to undergo such extreme population variations and crashes throughout their range, long before salmon farms were invented and in places where there are no salmon farms, it would seem that we should have looked to at least some of these alternative hypotheses. Instead, we jumped on sea lice and stayed on sea lice, and these other possibilities have not really had a good examination. That's unfortunate.
The levels of sea lice have been reduced, both on the farms and on wild fry. Since 2005 that seems to have been a bit of a trend. We really can't tell whether this is due to some environmental change, like a lowering of salinity or a change in temperature, but one thing we do know is that the farms are either treated, fallowed, or harvested, or only have smolts before the pink fry come out.
This is an area management program that's been put together by the provincial government and the major salmon farms in the area, and I think it's fair to say that farm management has contained the risk associated with the farms and sea lice and wild fish. In other words, there is a management system now in place that should be able to manage this issue.
I want to mention sockeye, because I've noticed that there's been a lot of suggestion in the media that the declines in the Fraser River sockeye could be caused by sockeye smolts swimming past salmon farms on the Discovery Islands near Campbell River. A lot of the laboratory work done over the last two or three years has shown--while you have to be careful about transferring laboratory results to the field--that pink salmon, which begin at only about 0.2 grams or a fifth of a gram in size when they enter salt water, are vulnerable to sea lice until they get to be about 0.3 or 0.5 or half a gram. Then they develop resistance. By the time they're a gram, they're quite resistant to sea lice.
Sockeye spend an entire year in lakes, sometimes more, before they come to the ocean. They're quite big. They're smolts, not fry. They can be 3 grams or 5 grams in size, so perhaps 25 times larger than a pink fry. They have fully developed skin and scales and they should have a lot more resistance to sea lice, even if they did pick them up by going by a farm. So I think this is a non-issue, and that's a personal opinion.
The final thing I'd like to say is how not to do things. In British Columbia.... Well, let me just back up. It appears that the research done on salmon farms is often targeted at issues of concern to the public. That seems to make sense: you want to be solving issues that are seen to be of concern. We've seen waves of these issues, with sea lice being the most recent and also the longest lasting and probably most intense issue in recent years.
But public concern seems to originate from media coverage. So whoever gets to the media most effectively gets to set the research priorities. Essentially, if you have The Vancouver Sun directing research priorities, it's perhaps not the most ideal thing. In these situations, scientific work, as already noted, becomes polarized in searching for the smoking gun and so forth. There's a lot of time and money spent, wasted on casting blame and on trying to avoid blame, and this is why we did not know some of the key aspects of pink salmon biology and salmon louse biology, or sea lice biology.
If you factor in the time taken by managers and bureaucrats in dealing with this issue, I don't think we could ever really come up with a good estimate of how much the issue of sea lice has cost us—and we still don't know all that we need to know. Many less charismatic issues become neglected and money gets spent on something that has essentially been promoted by the media or people who have effectively reached the media.
So we need a new approach. I don't know what it is. I think some creative thinking needs to be done. Again, the social sciences may offer us some ways out.
That concludes my comments.