For the majority of B.C. salmon populations in general, they're not a big factor. The key problems are localized, particularly on the south coast of B.C., where we have half of the total coastline harvest seal population in the Georgia Strait in a very small area. We also have a concentration of chinook and coho production from streams around the Georgia Strait and a very valuable fishery. There's definitely conflict in that setting.
Over the first ocean year of chinook and coho, marine mammal predation appears to account for between 30% and 50% of the total deaths of young salmon, and then for returning adult salmon, up to about 20% of the adult salmon get eaten by seals and sea lions in estuaries as they're returning to their spawning rivers. We don't think that has a large impact.
When we first saw the salmon decline starting back in the 1980s, we thought we were dealing with an overharvest problem. In fact, even when we started to look at the declining survival rates of chinook and coho in their first year in the ocean, we blamed those declining survival rates on factors other than marine mammals. It wasn't until almost 2000 that some data started to come out from Peter Olesiuk's lab and from DFO showing how much the seal and sea lion populations had grown and how much they were consuming. Then we really started to realize this was a serious issue.