That question is very difficult to answer from a statistical point of view. We're in the business of providing historical facts on what has transpired in the past. We do not do any forecasts, and unfortunately, the input-output models are not temporal models that can tell you anything about the timing of the stimulus. So I would have to defer that question to other experts who do that kind of analysis.
On February 10th, 2009. See this statement in context.