Thanks.
The issue that concerns me the most is not vaccinations, it's not prevention; it is the state of our acute care health care system in terms of responding if in fact there is a significant development with respect to the spread of H1N1. One of the articles I was reading was by Mark Humphries, who is with Mount Royal College in Calgary. He said that the lesson of the 1918 pandemic is to focus on treatment, not prevention. He suggests that our health care infrastructure is not prepared to meet the challenges if there are any serious developments in this area. Dr. Kumar, you have spoken a bit on this.
One of the studies that were released at the symposium at the beginning of September suggested that we are at full capacity now in terms of our acute care system. So what do we do if there is any kind of need? Second, they said there are currently only 8.7 medical ventilator beds per 100,000, and if we were talking about a full-bore H1N1, we'd need something like 3,000 ventilator beds per 100,000. And if we are talking about 30% to 35% of the population off sick, many of them needing intensive care for six to eight weeks, our acute care facilities are just not able to deal with this.
It's one of the areas where the federal government has been fairly silent and said it is all up to the provinces. I am concerned that we're leaving it out there as an unknown, and we are all hoping this isn't going to become serious, and if it does become serious we're going to be up a creek without a paddle, so to speak.
I need to hear your thoughts on the state of our acute care system. We have to talk about public health in the long term, and I agree with that, but I am asking whether right now, if something serious happens, we are ready to go.