Thank you.
Somebody here said that all poverty measures are relative in that even the market basket we have today is different from the market basket in Pakistan, different from the market basket we had 20 years ago. Actually, to me the critical issue--one that nobody has mentioned--is with regard to when the market basket is adjusted, if you accept that should happen, to reflect the living standards of Canadians in general. If our standard of living goes up 20%, does the poverty line go up at all, or is there no influence? Some people would argue that there should be no effect. Other people would say, no, we're richer; our obligations to the children change.
A critical question, because actually it's political, is whether that adjustment is automatic or ad hoc. The low-income cut-offs are called “relative” because every once in a while they get re-based. That's what makes them relative. If they're not re-based, they're not relative. They're back to being an absolute measure of poverty, where the standard of living doesn't change in time.
The low-income cut-offs were started around 1968. They're re-based every seven or eight years. As you well know, they have not been re-based since 1992, which is one of the reasons why reported poverty--if we use LICOs for poverty, even though we're told we shouldn't--is going down. It's because they haven't been re-based. If you re-based them, I guarantee you the poverty rate would jump.
Statistics Canada, basically on its own, as far as I know, decided not to re-base it. It decided on its own to turn a relative measure of poverty into an absolute measure of poverty.
The market basket measure of poverty, created by HRSDC, was created at the behest of the provincial ministers of social services because they thought LICOs were too generous. I'm not just saying that; I can show you documentation where that's said. It was designed to reflect living standards of low-income people, not general living standards. That was part of the control. So it's not a relative measure of poverty, it's a measure of poverty for the poor. And changes to that basket will be subject to the approval of the provincial ministers of social services, who set welfare lines. That's a wonderful system for them. They can control welfare rates and they can control the poverty line against which they're compared.
The question is, who gets to do the adjustments? Nobody has really talked much about the low-income measure--effectively the half-median--that's the international standard for a developed country. You heard evidence last week that there is no international standard. I disagree; it's LIM, the low-income measure. The problem is that the LIM doesn't do geographic adjustments at all.
So I would recommend, if I had to come up with a poverty measure, the half-median with some reasonable adjustments for geographic differences in housing costs, the way MBM did. I would recommend that it be adjusted not ad hoc, not subject to the ministers of social services, but annually. That would be my preference.