Well, Nicholas did me a good service that might speed things along a little bit by making the connection very well between housing and poverty reduction, so I won't go there. Thanks very much, Nicholas.
All of my presentation will be focused on housing specifically as a poverty reduction tool. I'll just get right into it.
The recent five-year renewal of the three federal housing and homelessness programs ended more than a decade of short-term housing funding announcements. This was a welcome shift and one that Canada's affordable housing sector expects to be the norm in the future.
Likewise, the extra $2.075 billion federal investment in affordable housing renovation, upgrade, and development announced as part of the recent stimulus budget is most welcome. This funding will be delivered through existing programs, but CHRA expects that due to the compressed timeframe for its delivery, there will be modifications in the way the programs are delivered. Given this, CHRA asks the Government of Canada to closely monitor stimulus spending on housing to ensure that the programs are meeting their objectives and that the budgets are fully allocated. Should signs of difficulty appear in rolling out that funding, we would call on the federal government to identify the issues early and address them, because we have a short timeframe here to make a big difference with this money.
At approximately $1 billion per year, the level of extra investment introduced through the stimulus budget is approximately on target with CHRA's investment recommendations in recent years. CHRA asks the Government of Canada to make this the starting point of a new commitment to invest adequately in the elimination of homelessness and the provision of affordable housing and supports for Canadians in need. To this end, CHRA's membership, at its annual meeting held just last week--I'm just back from our annual conference--calls on the Government of Canada to ensure the viability of existing affordable housing and to ensure that future annual affordable housing investment does not, at a minimum, fall below current levels. Here I'm going to get into a piece that Nicholas talked about, which is the expiry of existing operating agreements.
At issue is the fact that federal long-term social housing operating agreements and the mortgages attached to them have begun to expire. Over the next 10 years, the pace of these expiries will accelerate dramatically and the process will continue ever more rapidly until 2030, after which only a few mortgages will remain. One of the implications of this is that the financial viability of many housing projects will be compromised when the mortgages expire. In many instances, the projects will have maintenance and operating needs beyond that which current rent levels can cover. Rents will need to rise for low-income tenants, who cannot afford to pay more, and many will likely be forced to vacate their homes.
A second implication is that as these mortgages expire, savings to the federal treasury will not necessarily be reinvested in affordable housing, as policy currently stands, representing a net loss to a sector that is already vastly underfunded. This, in turn, will result in an exacerbation of already dire core housing need and instances of homelessness.
In all, approximately $2 billion federally are currently tied up in these mortgages. By 2014 the Government of Canada will have an extra $200 million annually, thanks to these expiries. By 2020 that number will rise to $600 million, and by 2024, to $1 billion annually. With these funds invested in affordable housing, we could add an additional 3,500 units annually by 2012; 13,500 units annually by 2020; and 24,000 units annually by 2025. That's just with the federal contribution. Of course, these are cost-shared provincial-federal-territorial agreements. With provincial-territorial investment, private sector investment leveraged through a planned approach, and by supporting the wise use of existing social housing assets and equity, it is apparent that the social housing shortage could really be seriously attacked with this proper investment.
I want to talk about something I referred to a minute ago, which is a commitment to end homelessness. CHRA, at its annual meeting just a few days ago, released a policy position on homelessness that declares that Canada urgently needs a comprehensive national housing strategy that includes ending homelessness as a top priority.
Just as a little bit of background information, between 150,000 people, which is the federal estimate, and 300,000 people, which is the high end of advocate estimates, experience homelessness each year. The causes of homelessness are complex and include inadequate housing, inadequate income, health problems, and so on. Despite the complexity, the tools to end homelessness are at hand, and this policy position that we've released briefly outlines them.
Among the fifteen principles and recommendations for action, I'll highlight three.
First, we will not end homelessness unless we increase our investment in affordable housing, with supports. This is fundamental. People need somewhere to go.
Second, we must commit to expanding the adoption of the housing first principle, which states that the homeless are best helped when they are moved from the street or shelter into safe and stable housing, with supports. This provides a stable platform from which they can address their underlying circumstances, including addiction, mental health issues, and others.
Third, the Government of Canada must show leadership in ending homelessness as a national problem, and do so based on an ongoing and sustainable funding framework. We're pleased with and commend the Government of Canada for its active support of the housing first principle through the homelessness partnering initiative, which was a big step for this country in the area of homelessness.
Ending homelessness, as with the provision of affordable house, will save Canadian taxpayers money. A 2006 study done for Metro Halifax found that investments in supportive housing could generate cost savings in health care, shelter use, policing, and other public services of up to 41% when compared with the costs of serving persons still living on the street. In British Columbia, it has been estimated that it costs between an $30,000 and $40,000 per year to service each homeless person. In Toronto, the monthly cost of one shelter bed is approximately $2,000, whereas providing someone with a housing subsidy costs between $200 and $700 a month. The economic case for addressing homelessness is clear.
I'd like to talk for a minute about a national housing policy framework and what we refer to as a national housing strategy.
First, underlying the case for the development of a national housing policy framework is the need to match the scope and depth of our response to the scope of the need that exists. We currently invest a great deal of money in this country in affordable housing, but we do so without a plan, without a framework—which Nicholas addressed as well—which would really allow us to measure results and really tie investments to outcomes. This is something that we really call on you to have addressed, not just at the federal level, but also by your provincial, territorial, and municipal counterparts.
There are examples of strategies being put into place now, both at the city level around housing and also at the provincial level, with the 10-year plans to end homelessness, for example, that we're seeing throughout Alberta. We need to have this planned approach expanded to the national level. With more planning, with a more planned approach, we can more successfully leverage private sector investment in the affordable sector.
I think an example that illustrates that is the Regent Park initiative in Toronto. I won't go into details, but there's a great deal of private sector investment, both in housing and services and, of course, in retail, in the redevelopment of that large and high-value site in Canada's largest city. It was really made possible, in large part, through innovation and financing for affordable housing, but also through planning. Without a plan, without a long-term view, it would not have been possible.
I'm sure my time is running short, and I won't go too far into this, but I can't stop without mentioning the need to continue to green our sector, to green our housing, to make our housing more energy efficient. The affordable housing sector in Canada has been a real leader in greening its stock, and we're very proud of that. One of the things we're looking to more and more is how to leverage the greening of our stock with green jobs and a greener labour market in our sector.
There are initiative in Winnipeg and other places doing this on a very small scale, where we're taking people who actually live in our housing and involving them in social enterprises that actually retrofit and upgrade the energy efficiency of our housing. We really need to take this concept and to expand it. I think we're all looking, at this time, for ways we can create employment, and I think we have an opportunity right now to really shift how we think about green employment and how we can connect people with low incomes in social housing to that national project.
I'll end it there. Thanks.