First, let me just deal with that. I'm dealing with the macro statistics; I'm not dealing with anecdotal data. There are always exceptions. I can find any exception to any statistical norm. So the fact that one person, the famous Ph.D. in English literature, is driving a taxi in Toronto.... I've never met the person, but I'm sure the person exists. But that does not invalidate the idea that post-secondary education is absolutely correlated....There's StatsCan data on this for 50 years.
Every additional year of post-secondary education leads to higher incomes. That's the absolute correlation with post-secondary. Remember, post-secondary is not just university. It's colleges, universities, and trades, for those who think it's a bias towards university education, because I don't have that bias.
The data is crystal clear. So is the American data, by the way. I'm only talking about the U.S. because we share the same continent; we're English-speaking mostly, with the important exception of Quebec. We're both English common-law countries sharing essentially the same climate, the same geography, the same legal system, and the same economic system. Their data is almost identical to ours.
Every additional year of post-secondary education leads to higher incomes and lower percentages of unemployment. That is not a one-year trend. That has been since the end of the Second World War. That's about 75 years. That's the “long run”, to use Keynes' famous phrase.
There's no question about the importance of education. I didn't say it was the only solution or the be-all and the end-all, but it is certainly very important.
Second, to come to your question, I have believed what I told you all of my adult life, obviously. But I think it's becoming more acute today than it was in the 1970s and 1980s because of the enormous transformation that is occurring in western economies, which we all know about. I call it the digitization of the economy.
Every year, I tell my students that I'm preaching to the converted. I teach only fourth year, and they're about to graduate. They're doing the fourth year of their B.Comms. I'm telling them to go and tell their brothers and their sisters and their parents and their cousins that if any of them are pooh-poohing education—because it is fashionable in some quarters to pooh-pooh post-secondary—that my confident statement is that today, if you have a grade 10 or a grade 12 or a grade 8 education, you are going to be poor for the rest of your life.
Of course, there are always exceptions and some person can raise a hand and say, I'm a high school dropout, and look, I became a self-employed multi-millionaire entrepreneur. But they are the exceptions; they are the statistical outliers. We have to look at the data set, which is the aggregate. As I've said, in this new economy that we're moving into, we have to be more educated, not less educated. We have to be focused.
If we want to have a serious conversation about poverty reduction, we have to realize that education has to be right at the centre. I'm using education more broadly than just going to university. I'm talking about college. I think the colleges are doing a phenomenal job, by the way. I think they're doing a better job probably than we are in the universities, I'm ashamed to say. And of course, there are the trades.
We have to be talking about that and we have to reduce the barriers. It's not just the barriers that Mr. Poilievre mentioned. I fully acknowledge them. They've been known for literally 50 to 60 years. They've been discussed in past federal budgets. I'm talking about the barriers that prevent a person who is on welfare, on social assistance, or on unemployment insurance from going back to school.
I would even say that we should be saying to those people, if you're on social assistance or unemployment insurance, we'll make a condition that you go back to school to obtain the social assistance or the unemployment insurance. We should be turning it upside down when we know that this new economy needs people much more skilled than did the economy in 1968 or 1981, when you could get by as a male with a grade 8 education and you'd have quite a nice life. Those days are so gone it's not funny.
We have to put education right at the centre of any discussion about poverty. Everything else is just noise, because it's not going to happen unless we retrain. We are a very sophisticated economy, but there's no room for people who are not well skilled or trained in this new economy. They're going to be permanently unemployed or go through a series of employment, unemployment, and employment at the margins of society.