Thank you, Mr. Chair, for the opportunity to present before this committee.
The Canadian Construction Association has approximately 17,000 individual member firms from coast to coast to coast in Canada. Construction accounts for some 7% of Canada's GDP. Our members are involved in the non-residential sector of the industry. Essentially, they build everything but single-family dwellings. They build Canada's infrastructure, both private and public.
Before specifically addressing the backlog situation, I'd like to set the stage with some of the context we're looking at.
As many of you know, our industry experienced chronic skilled labour shortages in many regions of this country prior to the onset of the recession. While these shortages were somewhat lessened during the downturn in 2009, employment within the construction sector is again back at historic highs. In fact, in July of this year, we set a new record for overall employment within the sector and have surpassed our pre-recession recorded highs.
An international study just this past year projected that Canada's construction market will be the fifth largest in the world by 2020, behind only the U.S., India, China, and Japan. Not surprisingly, our future labour supply is becoming a primary concern--if not the major concern--of our industry going forward.
The Construction Sector Council, which provides labour market information for both Human Resources and Skills Development Canada and Citizenship and Immigration Canada, estimates that the construction sector will be short some 325,000 workers, due to retirements, by 2019. Less than 50% of that needed amount, it projects, will come from traditional domestic sources.
In other words, we're going to be short by some 50%-plus, and we're going to have to look for those workers to come from abroad. Doing the math on that, if you project out to 2019, it means we're going to have to find approximately 20,000 new foreign skilled workers annually through immigration.
According to the Department of Citizenship and Immigration, there are approximately a million applicants presently involved in the backlog. The decision to cap levels under that program should be viewed as a temporary measure only. We're of the strong view that if additional resources are required to free up that backlog, that is what Canada should be investing in, to try to address that backlog. Indeed, we feel so strongly about this issue that we presented before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance as part of the pre-budget consultations and made that one of our three points.
But expedited processing is only part of the solution. I would say that the other part, and probably the most important one, involves reforming the existing system. Here is where I'm going to sound a bit contradictory. While on one hand we are saying “let's expedite the backlog under the federal skilled worker program”, I'm now about to tell you how the federal skilled worker program doesn't work for our industry currently. The primary reason for that is the current points system. Frankly, because the majority of the points are given for post-secondary education and language proficiency, the kinds of workers we are looking for just won't get the 67 out of 100 points they require.
Now, there are consultations under way right now to improve that. The minister has gone on record as wanting to make changes to the points system to make it more trades-friendly. But frankly, the system right now doesn't work. and as a result of that, our companies are looking to use the temporary foreign worker program. They're looking to stream those temporary foreign workers into the provincial nominee programs using the Canadian citizenship class, etc. The federal skilled worker program is just not a current option for them.
The other point that I think is extremely important here is that, despite the fact that we are relying heavily on the temporary foreign worker program, our projected skill shortage into the future is not a temporary problem. The simple math shows that it is not a temporary problem. It will not, to any great degree, go away with the ebb and flow of the economy.
With a fertility rate in Canada of approximately 1.5 to 1.6, we're just not replacing the population that is retiring or that we're losing from the workforce. The international guideline is a fertility rate of about 2.0 or 2.1 in order to replace your population; currently, Canada is around 1.58 or 1.6. The mathematics alone suggest that we need to look abroad for our future workforce.
I have some recommendations for our current system. First, we need to ensure that the backlog under the federal skilled worker program is dealt with. If resources are needed, let's apply the necessary resources. Secondly, we need to take a hard look at the eligibility requirements under the point system to ensure we are not turning away the workers that our country needs in the future, not just in the construction industry, but in a number of other industries, particularly in the area of skilled trades.
Given the large amount of infrastructure Canada needs to build in the next five years to keep pace with the growing international demand for our commodities, for our natural resources, let alone replacing our aging public infrastructure, which is also a priority, the challenge is no longer theoretical. We must act today to secure a labour market for Canada's infrastructure to be competitive and productive in the world.
In conclusion, we encourage the government to take a hard look at expediting the backlog under the federal skilled worker program and make necessary reforms so that workers who are needed for our future labour market are not turned away, despite the backlog. There is also a need to ensure that under the provincial nominee program--and in other areas where in fact industries like ours are using these particular programs--we do not hinder their ability to bring in workers, particularly when the federal skilled worker program is not working for industries like ours.
Mr. Chair, that concludes my opening remarks. I look forward to questions. Thank you for your time.