This is a very difficult question to answer in a sound bite. It really requires a long discussion.
I was up north just this summer, in the far north. We're planning to put up a ground station quite far up north, and I was up there for the first time. I think the conditions speak for themselves.
Whether we call it climate change or not, I'm not going to go there, but there are changes taking place. The north is melting. Areas that were frozen in by August, that being the end of summer, are no longer frozen in. The Louis S. St-Laurent is up there, and it often doesn't meet any ice. There's a Students on Ice program that we took pictures of when we were in orbit--we took pictures of their ship--and there was no ice around them.
I flew in 1992. On my first mission, I was on an equatorial flight, so I could see all the glaciers between +28 and -28 degrees. My second mission took me up to space station latitudes, which are much higher. There was clearly less ice--by memory, not by measurement--on all the mountains, and I flew in the same month in those two years, but 14 years apart. There are changes taking place.
I disagree, though, that it's a disaster. I disagree with people who get on TV and say that it's a disaster. To me, it's an opportunity. If the entire Greenland ice sheet melts and flows into the ocean, will the ocean level rise? Yes, it will rise, and it will rise by the numbers the scientists say, but our models are not very good.
One of the reasons we're pushing a PolarSat mission for the next budget, which you guys will see as we move through the budget cycle, is that it can measure climate characteristics in the far north from a distance.
Now, Europe has many satellites that fly at low altitude and measure climate change, but they just get pieces of it. We're taking one out to a geosynchronous orbit, and we're going to try to get the whole story. By improving the data over the north, we improve the data that come in over the south, and we improve the models. We therefore improve our predicting capability on climate change. It's there that I think the different countries of the world should invest. Canada should be part of that. In fact, the UN has done a gap analysis, and the second most important satellite the UN would like the world to fly is one Canada could contribute to.
There has been no commitment on this. It's a discussion. The idea is to get this data, get climate change measured, get it into the models, and then give the answers to the leadership of the nation so that they can make the right policy decisions.