Thank you, Ms. Bastien, Mr. Chairman.
As Ms. Bastien said, pension plan sponsors are currently going through tough times.
We estimate that more than 90% of pension plans are in a deficit position and that 30% have a shortfall of more than 20% of their fund. In a number of cases, the shortfall exceeds $1 billion.
In addition, pension plan shortfalls are highly changeable and can easily vary by more than 10% in the course of a year.
If the order of priority of a pension deficit on bankruptcy is changed, the reaction of plan sponsors, our clients, will depend on the action taken by lenders. We will see a reduction in the security of their loans, as some unsecured debts will jump ahead of the others. If the lenders increase the interest rate charged to companies that sponsor defined benefit plans to compensate for their additional risk, they may refuse to lend to those that have large defined benefit plans or may add additional loan covenants restricting all company investor pension assets.
The change in those rules will have unintended consequences. The effect on some sponsors will vary, but in my opinion they would be most significant for those with large DB plans and deficits, for those for whom the bond credit rating is just above the investment grade, and for those who need access to capital to operate. The effects will include increases in borrowing costs and a reduction in their ability to borrow money.
The competitiveness of those companies that sponsor defined benefit plans will also be reduced, as they will face higher borrowing costs to run their businesses compared to those for sponsors with defined contribution plans or with no pension plans at all. Furthermore, their foreign competitors, in particular in the U.S. and the U.K., are not subject to legislation that ranks pension deficits ahead of other creditors. Those foreign competitors will have lower borrowing costs.
Shareholders are already concerned about defined benefit pension risks, and in response many companies have taken measures to reduce such risks by replacing their DB plans in part with defined contribution plans. If the shareholders of those companies see an increase in borrowing costs, with additional strings attached, shareholders will put even more pressure on companies to replace their defined benefit plans with DC plans--defined contribution plans--with a corresponding transfer of investment risk to employees. We expect that the pace at which defined benefit plans are replaced by defined contribution plans, for both new and current employees, will increase significantly. You and I should be concerned about such a transfer of risk to employees.
Those who rely on defined contribution plans and RRSPs suffered significant losses in 2008, whereas the great majority of those participating in defined benefit plans are receiving and will still receive their full benefits, unaffected by the poor stock market returns.
Sponsors in distress situations, including those covered under CCAA, will be particularly affected. Those sponsors may need urgent access to financing to operate, and many of those sponsors operate in traditional sectors with large defined benefit plans. Lenders will not approve a loan to a distressed sponsor if there's a risk that their loan will be diverted to a large pension deficit.
Mr. Chair, the security of defined benefit plans can be improved by encouraging plan sponsors to better fund their plans. This can easily be achieved by allowing plan sponsors to confirm their surplus entitlement if they conservatively fund their pension fund.
Plan sponsors are requesting a--