Thank you very much, Mr. Chair.
Your committee is undertaking a study on broadband and Internet access in Canada. We would like to take this opportunity to provide the committee with an overview of the role of the Internet and broadband in spurring economic growth.
First let me clarify, for the purpose of today's presentation, that the term “broadband” commonly refers to high-speed Internet access. It can be simply defined as a fast connection to the Internet that is always on. Broadband service provides higher speed of data transmission and allows more content to be carried through the transmission pipeline. For example, it provides access to various Internet services, like streaming video, voice-over IP, and interactive services.
Today we would like to focus on three important ways in which the Internet and broadband contribute to the economy. First, look at how companies invest in digital technologies that help them innovate, increase productivity, and open new markets. Second, look at how the ICT sector develops and sells innovative products and services that both support and leverage broadband and Internet development. Finally, we will touch on the economic benefits that arise from investing in the networks themselves.
Digital technologies can be classified as general purpose technologies, and they are transforming the way companies do business. However, it is very difficult to predict where these transformations will lead to in the future. Who would have predicted how transformative and innovative the smart phone has been in recent years? It is equally challenging to predict where it will bring us in the future. We are not here to speculate today. But the one certainty is that there will be continuous change driven by exponential growth in processing speeds, memory capacity, sensors, and so on. That growth is going to create even more disruptive products and services, which in return will continue to change how businesses operate and help them become more innovative and competitive.
Many of these new products and services are already having a significant impact. Let me highlight two on this slide.
First, faster wireless speeds and the increasing prevalence of cloud computing are giving firms the ability to access and share large amounts of data across their entire organization from any location around the world. This in turn not only helps these firms be more efficient, but it allows more innovation. Second, machine to machine communications, which are only really just starting to emerge, allow for a greater array of remote monitoring and sensing that have lots of applications in almost every sector of the economy. Ericsson, for example, estimates that there will be 50 billion devices of all sorts connected to one another via the Internet by 2020. This, in essence, defines what some refer to as the “Internet of things”. It will not only spur new technologies and applications, but also new markets that are difficult to fathom today.
Canadian companies are increasingly investing in these technologies. In 2012, Canadian investment in ICT was $33.7 billion in computers, software, and communications equipment. Those figures do not capture the other substantial investments companies are making in products that already have digital technology embedded in them. New services like cloud computing and software as a service—precisely because they are services and not investments—also do not get captured in these figures, but increasingly companies are using these services. There are many examples across the country of leading firms leveraging these products and services to great effect. Overall, there is an opportunity for the private sector to do more to exploit these technologies. For example, when we compare our ICT investment to the U.S., Canadian firms overall have been slower to invest, and invest only 58% of what U.S. companies do in ICT.
Let's turn now to slide 6.
That brings us to our second point, the ICT sector.
The overall ICT market is expected to grow by 4.5% per year over the next 4 years. Now we could spend a lot of time looking at numbers for the ICT sector. But, given the time we have, let me emphasize a few points.
Although this growth rate might seem relatively modest for the ICT sector overall, specific sub-sectors are growing much faster. For example, smartphone shipments increased by almost 400% in the last 4 years and are expected to continue to grow significantly in coming years.
As the market for tablets like the iPad was almost non-existent in 2010, we can expect that ICT companies will continue to develop products and services we never thought or dreamed about.
My last point is that a lot of future growth will occur in emerging economies, while growth in traditional markets like the United States and the European Union, while still robust, will be slower. As such, Canadian ICT companies will need to diversify their exports and move increasingly toward these new markets in order to grow.
We turn to slide 7.
This is the third point. Broadband networks are the core of realizing the benefits of broadband. Canadians have access to broadband over a variety of technologies, and these networks allow Canadians to engage in the digital economy, facilitating the use of voice messaging, Internet, and data applications, as I mentioned earlier. The digitization and growth in broadband speeds are leading to convergence, the expectation that online services are accessible at any time, anywhere, and on any device.
We turn to slide 8.
The tremendous growth of the Internet over the past decade and the rise of mobile within the past several years has led to an exponential increase in global online traffic.
The Canadian marketplace is no different.
In 2016, global Internet traffic is forecasted to grow to nearly 4 times the level it was in 2011. It is anticipated that mobile network growth will be 14 times higher during that period.
We turn to slide 9.
The good news is that Canadian industry is pouring significant amounts of capital back into its networks to meet this growing demand. Investments in Canada were $9.4 billion in 2011, up from $8.4 billion in 2010. Canadian capital intensity, which is a measure of the ratio of telecom capital investments to telecom revenues, was 22% in 2011. These investment levels fared very well internationally, and if you look at the graph here, Canada is ahead of peer nations such as the U.S., Japan, and the U.K. in terms of its capital intensity. According to the OECD, we've also been above the OECD average since 2005.
Let's turn to slide 10.
So the billions invested annually by Canadian telecom carriers is resulting in higher-speed broadband coverage. Canada has near ubiquitous coverage of broadband and mobile networks, which are available to 99% of Canadians. Network providers are also rapidly deploying what we call next-generation networks to meet growing demand and the needs of advanced applications. For instance, wired 50-megabit-per-second networks are available to over 75% of Canadian households, up from 30% in 2009. Advanced mobile LTE networks, or long-term evolution, known as 4G as well, were available to 45% of the population at the end of 2011 and reached two-thirds coverage at the end of 2012.
We turn to slide 11.
There is no question that in the years ahead, demand for broadband and mobile technologies will continue to grow. We anticipate that the private sector will meet the challenge of the next wave of broadband-enabled applications by continuing to do what it does best: invest and innovate.
We foresee wired providers continuing to deploy fibre deeper into their networks, providing users with higher speeds. Wireless carriers are anticipated to continue to upgrade their existing mobile networks to the advanced mobile LTE platform, which offers significant improvements in speed and capabilities over previous networks.
In summary, Mr. Chair—and this is the last slide—digital technologies will continue to evolve at an exponential rate and change the way we do business and live.
As previously mentioned, in some cases we are only beginning to see the potential and changes that are resulting through the development and use of these technologies. As this growth continues, Canadian companies will be presented with even more opportunities to innovate, be competitive, and expand globally.
Thank you very much for the opportunity to come before the committee today. Before my colleagues and I take your questions, I would like to mention that there is an additional slide in the annex that shows a Canada-U.S. comparison of broadband coverage and speed.
Merci beaucoup.