Good afternoon.
I would like to thank the members of the committee for inviting me today.
It is a real honour to speak to you about the most pressing labour market challenges facing all of Canada, and the labour market information ecosystem.
I represent the Labour Market Information Council, or LMIC for short. LMIC is an independent organization that was formed on the initiative of the federal, provincial and territorial governments.
Specifically, we are supported by the labour ministries across Canada, as well as Statistics Canada. Our mission is to ensure Canadians have access to high-quality, relevant, labour market information to support their decision-making. At LMIC, we work in close collaboration with our federal, provincial and territorial counterparts to bring together a variety of players in the labour market information field. These include career development and employment service organizations, employer bodies such as sector councils, unions, researchers and organizations involved in training Canadians to succeed in the workforce.
I suspect that “labour market information” is probably not part of your daily vocabulary, as it is mine. Therefore, I'd like to explain what I mean by this. First and foremost, it is the data we use to track labour market developments and outcomes, but it is also the concepts, categories, taxonomies and ways we talk about labour markets. Why does it matter? Labour market information helps us tell the story of what's really happening in the world of work. It enables us to get beyond anecdotes and conjecture, into a quantitative, data-driven assessment of current reality and a more accurate picture of what to expect in the future.
Let me turn, now, to the top priority in labour market information issues today, and a big concern for small and medium-sized enterprises, although the data is a bit lacking for them. That is, of course, labour market tightness. There is little doubt that we're facing the tightest market in decades. The share of core-age adults working—those between 25 and 54—is the highest it's ever been. Unemployment is at the lowest it's ever been, essentially. As I'm sure you all know, job vacancies have skyrocketed as we've emerged from the pandemic. According to Statistics Canada, vacancies are roughly 80% higher now than they were prepandemic.
I have no doubt there are many businesses facing labour shortages. However, we avoid describing the current labour market conditions as generally and necessarily beset by labour shortages, and that's for two reasons.
First, there's no common definition of, or way to measure, labour shortages. For example, the latest data shows there's about one and a half unemployed people for every job vacancy. Of course, it would be unrealistic to say there's not a shortage, because we have more people looking for jobs than openings. That ratio of 1.5 unemployed people to job openings is currently the lowest it's ever been, and even lower in provinces like Quebec and British Columbia.
Second, and more importantly, there's a critical distinction to be made between labour shortages and skill shortages. At LMIC, we define “labour shortages” as a lack of applicants—a literal lack of bodies coming through the door. In past months, there have been many stories and anecdotes describing this very situation. A “skill shortage”, in contrast, is when there are applicants for a job opening, but the employer cannot find a candidate with the sufficient experience, skills, education and so on to fill that role.
We're a small organization. We have faced challenges, numerous times, trying to attract diverse talent over the past four years of our operation. As a labour market information challenge, the problem is that labour shortages and skill shortages appear the same in the data. It's a vacancy in the survey. It's a job posting in online job-posting data that we leverage and work with.
Despite these two challenges appearing the same in the data, the policy challenges and potential solutions are markedly different. Labour shortages require responses to entice more applicants. Maybe that's higher wages or better working conditions to increase the available pool of labour. Skill shortages need to be addressed primarily through training and education systems. That presents an implementation challenge, because scaling up programs or shifting the direction of training requires time to implement. By the time newly skilled workers are brought to market, there's a risk that labour market needs have shifted.
I think we are definitely facing both labour and skill shortages. I can explain why, with some key data points, in the question and answer period. I would simply like to say that, in preparation for this meeting, I tried to dig up some specifics on small and medium-sized enterprises, and on vacancy and job-posting data. We have a lack of information on that. We're working with our partners at Statistics Canada, right now, to see what we can dig up to share with the committee, because it's an important topic. We don't have specific data and insights on that now.
Finally, I want to close by cautioning members that, given current macroeconomic conditions and shifting policy stances by central banks around the world, the situation we're facing might change dramatically in the coming year or two. There's a big risk of a global slowdown in growth and potentially a recession, which could reverse the labour market tightness we are concerned with today. If we have learned anything from the past two years, it's just how rapidly labour markets can change, in terms of both plummeting and rebounding.
We therefore need to be thinking about long-term strategies to support evolving and dynamic systems of training, education and employment-matching services to meet the needs of employers in every province and territory.
Thank you.