There are two dialogue efforts that are ongoing in Burundi. One is the internally led effort to bring all the parties together, including the government, the members of the opposition—most of whom are in exile—civil society, women, youth, and basically the whole spectrum of the Burundian society, to begin to talk and find a common solution to this issue. Of course, this is with the challenge of dealing with a government that has no intention to do so or shows no intention to do so.
This initiative is being led by the African Union, and it was happening in Arusha with the leadership of the President of Uganda and the former president of Tanzania. It has stalled because the government is not showing enough determination to go forward with the process.
At the same time, a parallel intra-Burundian dialogue is happening that is led by the government. It is, I would say, a semblance of a dialogue. It is happening within Burundi, and it brings in actors that are supposed to be representing various groups in Burundi, but in reality they are mostly government supporters. It is, I am afraid, a masquerade.
I believe efforts should be made to continue to support the internationally led initiative and put pressure on the Government of Burundi to go forward with these talks as an internationally led dialogue. It's very critical. In the event that this doesn't work, what we are looking at is a civil war.
As I am sure you are already aware, there are groups that are beginning to arm themselves. The other thing is that we cannot watch our people being killed every day without reacting. There are various groups that are amorphous. They are still not well organized, but they are there. We are watching a civil war that's coming and that's in the making if we do not act now.