Thank you, sir. Those are three big questions.
You're absolutely right. The regional governments and states play a very significant role in what's happening in South Sudan. That factor cannot be underestimated. It's not surprising, perhaps. All the regional countries—Ethiopia, Kenya, Uganda, the DRC, and Sudan itself—have their own political regional interests.
Historically—I'm painting now with a broad brush—Uganda has typically supported the current president, Salva Kiir. At various times, Sudan has supported the principal opposition leader, Riek Machar, who has been or was the principal opposition leader. There's a bit of a proxy war going on between Uganda and Sudan that is being fought out in South Sudan to some extent. That is a huge factor.
The principal regional body that has played a principal role in the peace processes and is implementing the peace agreement is the Intergovernmental Authority on Development, IGAD. It's made up exactly of the regional states. Many feel that it's not been particularly effective, because, again, regional politics play such a large role. At the same time, the African Union is reluctant to play a firmer hand out of deference to the regional organization, to IGAD, so that's also a complicating political factor.
You're absolutely right. The regional government and the regional states play a major role and have a major influence on what's happening in South Sudan.
As to Canada and more robust peacekeeping in general, again, that question is not unique to South Sudan. I know that the UN itself, with its department of peacekeeping operations, has done a number of studies and self-assessments over the past several years. How do you make peacekeeping more robust? How do you get troop-contributing countries to be more robust in their own attitudes, as opposed to sending people in various elements and units that very clearly are not anxious to engage in anything such as real fighting?
That's an ongoing problem and not unique to South Sudan. I don't know how that ultimately gets resolved, but in my personal opinion, I think that in many of these situations we're going to have to find a way to be more robust. If you're sitting in a UN camp in the middle of South Sudan, there's a government roadblock 500 metres outside the camp, and you can't get further than 500 metres from the camp, I think we can all agree that you can't be very effective.
In terms of ISIS, it's an interesting question. I don't think anyone has seen that as a factor so far. One of the historical differences—not the only one, by any means—between the northern part of Sudan and in what became South Sudan is that the northern part of the country tends to be Muslim. What became South Sudan is at least nominally Christian. So far, I have not seen anyone suggest that ISIS is playing a role in that particular area, although it's certainly wise to keep an eye on that situation.