I'd like to thank the committee for the opportunity to appear again. This is the second time since the end of May.
The Atlantic industry has been represented by the Maritime Lumber Bureau throughout the more than 25-year history of the softwood lumber dispute. The Atlantic position on the softwood lumber dispute has been, and continues to be today, a unified position of both industry and our four provincial governments: Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, Prince Edward Island, and Newfoundland and Labrador. To fully demonstrate the unity that has existed throughout those 25 years, our delegation present here today is made up of both large and small companies; the head of delegation for the Province of New Brunswick, Elaine Campbell; and the head of delegation for the Province of Nova Scotia, Greg Bent.
As the spokesperson of the industry in Atlantic Canada, and with full endorsement from those four provincial governments--again, four provincial governments: Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, Prince Edward Island, and Newfoundland and Labrador--I'm delighted to submit to you that Atlantic Canada supports the softwood lumber agreement as agreed to by the Canadian and U.S. federal governments on July 1.
For those of you who may be quick to discount the support apparent from industry and provincial governments in four of Canada's provinces on the basis that we've been justly exempted from the terms of the agreement, I'd like you to focus on three overriding principles from our perspective.
First, the legal text of the agreement is consistent with the framework agreement that received pan-Canadian support from industry and governments on April 27. Atlantic Canada has been consistent in favouring a negotiated resolution, provided our unique circumstances are recognized and past exclusions preserved. From our perspective--and there are others--both the framework agreement and the legal text recognize those circumstances.
Second, we should all focus on why an agreement is the preferred approach to end the decades-old dispute.
Third, we should spend some time on the alternatives.
First--and most importantly, in our opinion, as I said a minute ago--the legal text is consistent with the framework agreement, and modifications that have been incorporated generally constitute improvements. From our perspective, the legal text is based on each of the components of the framework agreement. The discussion today about the absence of termination is something I'll get to later.
Although there have never been any allegations against us, and Atlantic Canada was sideswiped by the current case, and we maintain strong feelings that 100% of our duty deposits should have been returned to us, we have demonstrated a willingness to negotiate in good faith and assist the efforts of governments both past and present to reach a settlement by agreeing to leave some money on the table.
This is phenomenal for us, because while it's easy to make the assessment that the costs have been minimal given our exemption, you should recognize that in Atlantic Canada the cost in the current dispute alone, with leaving some money on the table, exceeds $90 million, in addition to the very high operating costs that we already have and that led to our exemption in the first place.
The component of the legal text that covers the return of the duty deposits is one of the enhancements that are extremely important to industry across Canada, not just in the Maritimes. This agreement contains the provisions that Canada will purchase the receivable of the duty deposits and return the amount of money owing under the agreement to Canadian importers of record--I quote--“no later than six weeks from the receipt of the final list of cash deposits and accrued interest referred to in paragraph 2”. This compares to months extending into years for U.S. Customs and Border Protection to issue more than a million cheques on an entry-by-entry basis to cover more than $5 billion in accrued duty deposits, plus interest.
This isn't a speculative statement. In 1994, following the extraordinary challenge win in the 1991 countervailing duty case, the U.S. held approximately $800 million in duty deposits--$800 million compared to the $5 billion today. Those deposits were not returned to Canadian importers of record until Canada had agreed to enter into the 1996 softwood lumber agreement, and then it took over nine months to complete the return of duty deposits.
Under the current agreement, Canada has agreed to aid the industry's much-needed cashflow by purchasing the rights to cash deposits and returning the money within six weeks. This is a definite enhancement over what was stipulated in the framework agreement, and in an area that is critical to the survival of many Canadian softwood lumber producers, including those in the Maritimes.
There are other enhancements in the legal text, from our perspective, but in the interest of time I'll go to the second principle of our support, which is the reasons to enter into an agreement in the first place rather than ongoing litigation as an end to this dispute.
There have been numerous attempts to reach a negotiated resolution since March 2002, and probably the only thing agreed upon by the stakeholders on a pan-Canadian basis was the reasons to enter into an agreement. The simplified statement of those reasons was to bring an end to Lumber IV and provide protection against Lumber V. Before dismissing the value of the current agreement, we should quickly recall the past 25 years, cases in 1981, 1984, 1991, and 2001, with two agreements in between.
The current agreement will bring an end to Lumber IV, and it contains provisions that neither the two previous agreements did, nor does ongoing litigation provide. It provides choices of the export measure. It provides for third-country adjustments to protect Canada from losing market share to foreign imports. It provides for the establishment of the North American softwood lumber committee and technical working groups. It provides for North American-focused and -funded market development and other meritorious initiatives. It has enhanced dispute settlement provisions; it recognizes Canadian regions, not just provinces or territories; and it is a seven-year agreement and provides for an additional two-year renewable agreement by both parties.
Yes, it does have a termination clause, which has been the reported objection of those opposed to the agreement and, since I've sat in from the beginning this morning, the subject of a great deal of discussion here. But you need to understand that it's Atlantic Canada that could and maybe should be most opposed to the termination clause, because history has demonstrated that when a softwood lumber agreement is terminated, as was the case in 1991 when Canada unilaterally terminated the MOU at the request of British Columbia, despite opposition from our region, the Atlantic exemption was also terminated. It threw this region back into litigation despite the absence of subsidy allegations against us.
We understand that during the negotiations for the current agreement the insertion of a termination clause was first proposed in early June, again by British Columbia, not by the United States. The proposal for a termination clause came from Canada; it did not come from the United States.
From an Atlantic perspective, we believe the focus should be on making the agreement work for the intended seven to nine years so that Canadian industry is well served by stability in the marketplace. In Atlantic Canada, our intention to make the agreement work is evidenced by the fact that we have already put in place the new requirements of the Maritime Lumber Bureau under the anti-circumvention provision, and we have enhanced the existing components of the certificate of origin program, which has been in place for more than 10 years and has served very effectively to prevent circumvention following the SLA and under the current litigation. We're not waiting for the agreement to be signed or to enter into force to implement the obligations that we have accepted.
Finally, and the third point, before discarding the value of the current agreement, we should consider what are the alternatives--an endless cycle of litigation, with appeal after appeal? We have been quoted numerous times: the only thing certain about litigation is that the outcome is uncertain. We have read numerous reports about Canadian wins under litigation, and many of the committee members have talked about just two more hurdles to get over, but few if any disclose that those wins were predominantly based on a single snapshot in time, the period of investigation.
The period of investigation in this current case was the period from April 1, 2000, to March 31, 2001, for the Department of Commerce dumping and subsidy calculations, and from 1999 through 2001 for the ITC material injury determination. You must understand that these were periods in which the 1996 to 2001 softwood lumber agreement was in full force, and a period of a relatively low Canadian dollar. A different period of investigation, particularly a period such as we have now, which we in the Maritimes refer to as a “perfect storm”, would produce different results. The three factors of a perfect storm include a high Canadian dollar, low lumber prices, and hundreds of millions in arguably new Canadian subsidies, none of which the Maritimes have participated in, but which were implemented to offset the impact of the softwood lumber dispute.
Prior Canadian wins in other cases related to whether or not stumpage can confer a subsidy. We heard this morning's testimony on the value of WTO determinations: the WTO is binding and it's international. The WTO ruled against Canada, ruled that stumpage can confer a subsidy. This is one of the litigation losses borne by Canada that has not been discussed frequently.
Now that Canada and the United States have initialled a legal text that reflects the framework of April 27, which was agreed to by stakeholders on both sides of the border, if implementing legislation is not proposed before Parliament or is tabled and fails, the alternative would almost certainly be new trade action—Lumber V.
This is a realistic potential outcome that should be carefully considered. In 1991, when Canada unilaterally terminated the MOU with only 30 days' notice, the U.S. government promptly self-initiated a trade action against Canada. We talk about what the coalition will do; history demonstrates that the U.S. government will take action.
In 1991, when Canada unilaterally terminated the MOU, the United States trade representative determined pursuant to section 304 of the Trade Act that certain Canadian government acts, policies, and practices were “unreasonable and burden or restrict U.S. commerce” and that “expeditious action” in the matter was required.
If there is no agreement and the United States does exactly as certain Canadian parties are requesting and implements the NAFTA wins that were in Canada's favour, it is more than possible, it is probable, that there will be another trade action—Lumber V—against Canadian shipments of softwood lumber. Considering the perfect storm components I've just outlined, it is a virtual certainty that the only stakeholders to prosper will be what we refer to as the “cottage industry” that has been created as a result of the ongoing dispute—and that cottage industry is the U.S. legal profession—provided there are any survivors in the softwood lumber industry in Canada to employ them.
I have not mentioned the impact on Canada-U.S. relations in a general sense, as I believe the impact of those relationships as a result of the decades-old dispute is self-evident, and you don't need any expanded dialogue from me.
In summary, Atlantic Canada supports this agreement. We are ready to enter into an agreement with the United States. We remain committed to market-based forest policies, which are at the root of the dispute, and we have been consistent with implementing the components that have earned us the reputation of being free and fair traders in softwood lumber.
We have been sideswiped for decades in this ongoing dispute. We would ask the support of our elected representatives for the implementation of an agreement that protects and recognizes the unique circumstances that prevail in Atlantic Canada and brings stability to the market in North America for softwood lumber.
Mr. Irving has the final concluding remarks.