Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
Good afternoon. If you do not have any objections, I will be expressing myself mostly in French today.
My name is Jean-Michel Laurin. I am here representing the Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters, Canada's largest trade and industry association, with members from all of the sub-sectors involved in manufacturing throughout the country.
The manufacturing sector remains Canada's most important commercial sector: 16% of our GDP is dependent upon manufacturing and 21% is dependent upon foreign exports. As we enjoy repeating, each manufacturing dollar produced generates more than three dollars worth of economic activity overall. When a single-industry community loses a plant, one often discovers that in that community everything was dependent upon that industry. That is a good illustration of the importance of the manufacturing sector.
The manufacturing sector is mainly responsible for our trade internationally. More than two thirds of exported Canadian goods and services are manufactured products. The rest is mainly made up of agricultural and energy products. Research and development are highly dependent upon the manufacturing sector. Three quarters of private research and development funded by the private sector is done by manufacturers. Approximately two million Canadians earn their daily bread working in a plant or a factory.
You are aware of the fact that the manufacturing sector is going through difficult times. A profound transformation of the sector is underway in Canada, especially in Quebec and Ontario. The diagnosis is the same virtually anywhere in the country. Manufacturers must be among the best in their field because, as we well know, the Canadian dollar has appreciated. This has brought about a reduction in the export income of manufacturers and exporters. Rising energy prices are further shrinking their profits. It is becoming more and more difficult to earn a profit, which explains why we have seen so many jobs disappear in the manufacturing sector over the last five years.
International competition is becoming ever stronger. Our markets have become much more open. This forces our companies to achieve good results, which is becoming more and more difficult. The economic slowdown in the United States is also of great concern to us. It is forcing businesses to re-examine their business model, to look for other growth opportunities and to seek out means to mitigate the impact of the recession on their main export market.
Lastly, people are very worried by the economic slowdown and the credit market problems. Many of our members are telling us that they are having difficulty obtaining credit. That gives you an idea of the present situation of the manufacturing sector.
The Canadian economy and Canada's manufacturing sector are undergoing a deep transformation, but this phenomenon is not strictly Canadian. It is a symptom of what is happening at the global level. We are witnessing a realignment of the economic forces throughout the world. Global economic growth was quite steady during the 1990s, in large part because of the vigorous growth of the American economy.
The PowerPoint document I had distributed contains statistics that show that a good portion of the economic growth over the coming years will come from emerging economics, such as Columbia. For example, we see that developed economies will have an average growth of between 0 and 3% over the course of the next few years. In the United States, for 2008 and 2009, predicted growth is below 1%. Our traditional markets are not growing markets. Competition is becoming more and more fierce. Given that emerging economies are looking to penetrate the Chinese market, it is more and more difficult for our exporters to maintain their share of our traditional export markets.
In emerging and developing economies, however, economic growth has been very strong and quite steady. The data I have provided to you are those of the International Monetary Fund, that does economic predictions. Whether you are talking about Africa, Russia, China, India or Colombia, the annual growth rate is always above 5%. In certain cases, such as China or India, annual growth has even reached close to 10 or 11%. These are therefore major economies, characterized by rapid and even phenomenal growth.
Your study deals mainly with Colombia. Free trade agreements with developing countries or emerging economies are a relatively new phenomenon. In the past, we tended to negotiate free trade agreements with the United States. Mexico was one of the first cases. Traditionally, we have done much of our trading with comparable developed countries, whereas now, we are targeting developing countries. It is therefore perfectly logical that you ask yourselves these questions.
This is a phenomenon which will continue. A few years ago, 85% of our exports went to the United States. The number today is 79%. The percentage is dropping because we are developing markets other than the United States. Companies use North America as a manufacturing base, but their aim is to penetrate world markets.
Concerning the performance of Canadian exporters over the last year, our exports to the United States have fallen back by more than 3%. However, our exports to China have increased by 21%, and they have risen by 14% in the case of Brazil and by 29% in that of Colombia. Markets where growth has been strong are markets such as Colombia. Our members are certainly interested in developing and opening up these export markets. Therefore, any measure that would facilitate access by Canadian companies to these markets would be most welcome.
Moreover, not only have our exports to Colombia increased, but, over the course of the last year, we have accumulated a trade surplus with that country. We export more goods to Colombia than we import from that country. This is a very unusual situation in the case of an emerging economy. Usually, it is the opposite that occurs: we have a trade deficit such as that which we have with China.
Another aspect that should be underscored is that the manufacturing sector plays a very important role in trade between Canada and Colombia. Last year, more than 68% of our exports to Colombia were products manufactured in factories in Canada. Five years ago, that number was 57%. There has therefore been important growth in our exported industrial goods to Colombia.
We are seeing that economic growth is truly happening in the emerging economies. The majority of our members are in favour of a free trade agreement with Colombia. There will certainly be challenges for certain sectors, but that is the case in the negotiation of any type of free trade agreement.
One must not however view an agreement and the negotiations as an end in itself. The objective should be to do more in order to facilitate trade between Canada and Colombia. The witness who preceded me stated that security is certainly an aspect that is on top of the list when a company is thinking about doing business in Colombia. It is not simply economic development that should be taken into account; one must also consider the level of social development.
The Canadian government has a very important role to play in helping Canadian companies increase their trade with countries such as Colombia. For example, the Canadian International Development Agency for several years offered programs aimed at helping companies penetrate these markets and work alongside aid agencies. In our view, stakeholders in the economy, trade, investment and international aid should work hand in hand in order to maximize the impact we can have on the development of these partner countries.
I look forward to your questions. Thank you for having invited us here today.