Now I'll turn to forest products, or more specifically, to lumber products.
My company has been exporting B.C. lumber products to India for over 15 years. It began as a result of a Vancouver visit by the owner of one of India's oldest and most respected lumber importers, B.F. Wadia and Sons of Mumbai. Arsheesh Wadia, the president, has been instrumental in the development of my understanding of the dynamics and huge potential of the emerging Indian market for Canadian forest products.
Some observations I've made over the years are that 1.2 billion people need housing. In many of the housing components, from supports to hold up the concrete floors as they are constructed, to doors and windows, to flooring, and industrial packaging products, they were using local woods. At that time, very little lumber was being imported into India as India was harvesting its own forests and there was an import tariff of 37.5% on lumber. Today, while much has changed in India, a lot still remains the same.
On factors that affect lumber, I'm sure that others have covered the economic realities of India in much greater detail than I can, but I will touch upon factors impacting lumber consumption.
First, there is a population of 1.2 billion, all requiring housing or shelter of some sort. There is a shift from a rural agricultural lifestyle to an urban industrial lifestyle requiring new housing units. By 2020 it is estimated that 200 million new housing units will be required, of which 80 million will be urban, with characteristics similar to those you would find in homes or condominiums in North America. The majority will be a multi-family type.
Second, the demographics are skewed towards a younger age group that is evolving into a middle-class consumer society for such items as furniture and other housing amenities constructed of lumber.
Other significant changes taking place over this timeframe include: first, the banning in 1995 of domestic timber harvest on all government lands to protect the environment; second, a significant increase in both hardwood and softwood log imports to make up for some of this shortage—approximately 200 shiploads of logs per year, of which five million cubic metres were hardwood logs, and one million cubic metres were softwood logs; third, a drop in the import tax on lumber from 37.5% to the now 14.75%; and fourth, a subsequent increase of lumber imports from 100,000 cubic metres of hardwood to 600,000 cubic metres of hardwood and softwood in 2011—12,000 containers per year—of which 300,000 cubic metres were hardwood lumber, and 300,000 cubic metres were softwood lumber. Canada exported 65,000 cubic metres.
However, it has not been a smooth journey. The increase in lumber imports led to much more rigorous inspection of the documentation required and it was found that most of the Canadian species' botanical names were not included in the import regulations. This led to a two-year hiatus of Canadian lumber imports to India while this was rectified. The Canadian and Indian governments, through the agricultural department, did a pest control assessment, and we've successfully now listed all of our species on India's import schedule.
India's preference for lumber products still remains hardwood, such as teak and meranti, which has seen significant increases of log imports from both Myanmar and—and I'll make a correction to the brief; it's not Indonesia, but Malaysia. These are the two largest exporters of these logs.
Imported logs are subject to a duty of 9%. Lumber is at 14.75%, and finished products, such as doors, windows, and flooring, are at 33%, thereby skewing buying decisions.
I believe that a comprehensive economic and partnership agreement, CEPA, between Canada and India that includes lumber products will be beneficial for both countries if it addresses both the tariff and non-tariff barriers currently in place. It would be a win-win situation.
First, India is a “fibre deficit” nation and needs to import logs and lumber to meet its growing needs for wood products. While India has restricted domestic harvesting and its government has discouraged wood use, the reality is that India is a wood culture.
As consumption grows, along with demographic and economic trends, all estimates are for more wood use, not less. Considering a policy of encouraging wood imports and use of sustainably managed forests can present a viable alternative to increasing pressures on domestic forests and ensure that India is making positive environmental choices by sourcing them from legal and sustainable sources. Some forecasts show a shortage of 50 million cubic metres of lumber by 2030.
Import duties are a tax on the Indian consumer, as they raise the price of the raw materials that are being used, either in housing construction or in other amenities. The tax is also applied on the landed price cost, including freight, which puts those countries with farther shipping distances at a disadvantage. Canada is on the opposite side of the world to India and has one of the longest shipping distances from the fibre-sourcing regions, putting it at the greatest disadvantage.
Second, India is developing an export economy of furniture, doors, etc., that will put it at a competitive disadvantage with other exporting nations that do not have the same import duties. I'm not aware of any import duty tax credit for goods that include lumber products that a duty has been paid on, but that are exported out of the country. High import tariffs on logs and lumber are likely putting more pressure on domestic forests, as they do not make imported wood products from sustainable sources as competitive.
I understand the desire to protect domestic jobs, which is why limiting their tariff to manufactured and finished goods may help create jobs in India. Bringing in the raw material without high tariffs can help encourage the domestic industry and keep it competitive with other nations. This is particularly acute if India wants to export finished goods. The raw material inputs are automatically higher than in other Asian manufacturing centres.
I would add that Canadian lumber should be more cost-effective to Indian secondary manufacturers and consumers than products generated from imported tropical hardwood logs, the supply of which is diminishing worldwide and the cost of which is rising worldwide. Although Canadian lumber may compete with lumber produced by Indian sawmills, constituencies in India, other than sawmillers, stand to benefit significantly from using Canadian lumber. Reflecting that phenomenon, we urge Indian policy-makers to characterize imported lumber as, at best, a semi-manufactured good, so that import duties are reduced, ideally to zero.
Third, India has several non-tariff trade barriers that other countries do not have, including import permits and phytosanitary certification. India's business practices can also be suspect when it comes to correcting even the smallest error in paperwork. This all leads to extra costs in doing business in India.
I've also listed a number of things that I have written down here. If you like, I can cover them very quickly, or whatever you think.