That's actually a good question.
There have been a couple of numbers floated about the number of exports of finished vehicles to the European Union. There was one number of 13,000; another number was 8,000. Neither of those numbers has been validated. We don't know where these numbers come from. Both have been in news reports and in various government communiqués. One of the things we would like to see is an actual accounting of that, because surely that exists somewhere. With industry support and involvement, perhaps we would actually get an itemized breakdown of what the exports are.
In a paper that's going to be released, probably next week, we took existing strategists' data from Industry Canada. We looked at the value of trade, and then our best-guess estimates about the number of vehicles based on analysis by Ward's Automotive Group, which is a fairly reputable and leading statistical group. On the crude division of the number of units versus the value of trade, it doesn't add up to 13,000. That means we would be selling cars for around $9,000 in Europe, which is clearly not true for any cars we sell there.
We're not making pronouncements. Our best guess, as with the other best guesses we're hearing, is that it's about 5,000. We have our own methodology for that. Knowing it would be better but, clearly, given the level of imbalances we're seeing in the trade, to say that we would go from 5,000, or even 10,000, to 100,000 is simply not possible.