Evidence of meeting #133 for International Trade in the 44th Parliament, 1st Session. (The original version is on Parliament’s site, as are the minutes.) The winning word was emissions.

A video is available from Parliament.

On the agenda

MPs speaking

Also speaking

Jean Simard  President and Chief Executive Officer, Aluminium Association of Canada
Dave Sawyer  Principal Economist, Canadian Climate Institute
Elizabeth Kwan  Senior Researcher, Canadian Labour Congress
Neil Campbell  Partner, McMillan LLP, As an Individual
Angella MacEwen  Senior Economist, National Services, Canadian Union of Public Employees
Troy Lundblad  Department Leader, Research, Public Policy and Bargaining Support, United Steelworkers
François Soucy  Legislative Staff Representative, Political Action and Communications, United Steelworkers

Chandra Arya Liberal Nepean, ON

It is not EnviroMix.

5:10 p.m.

Principal Economist, Canadian Climate Institute

Chandra Arya Liberal Nepean, ON

Thanks. I'll come back to you.

Ms. Kwan, as to your recommendations one and three—I can't repeat them—are there any countries that have implemented those recommendations?

5:10 p.m.

Senior Researcher, Canadian Labour Congress

Elizabeth Kwan

In terms of the industrial strategy, if you look at Europe, for instance, it has strategies around that. It also also has strategies around emissions and strategies around deforestation—all of that stuff.

As to number three, yes, many governments are active in the realm of shifting towards a low-carbon economy. It provides—

Chandra Arya Liberal Nepean, ON

I know various governments are doing it. Sometimes it is easier for us to know if somebody else has done it. We can look at how their model works, and we can try to copy it. There's nothing wrong with copying good things.

Mr. Simard, I have a quick question, a short question. What percentage of aluminum products from Canada are exported outside of North America?

5:10 p.m.

President and Chief Executive Officer, Aluminium Association of Canada

Jean Simard

It's a very small proportion—perhaps 3% or 5%, depending on the year. The rest goes to the U.S.

Chandra Arya Liberal Nepean, ON

Basically, your concern here is about imports into Canada.

5:10 p.m.

President and Chief Executive Officer, Aluminium Association of Canada

Jean Simard

I'm sorry. Can you repeat the question?

Chandra Arya Liberal Nepean, ON

On this particular issue, your major concern is about imports into Canada. Am I right?

5:10 p.m.

President and Chief Executive Officer, Aluminium Association of Canada

Jean Simard

We don't have an issue with imports into Canada. It's not an issue for us.

Chandra Arya Liberal Nepean, ON

Thank you.

Mr. Sawyer, I'll come back to you.

You said there is a proposed bipartisan bill pending in the U.S. Do you think it will pass under the Trump administration?

5:15 p.m.

Principal Economist, Canadian Climate Institute

Dave Sawyer

I cannot speculate on that.

Chandra Arya Liberal Nepean, ON

Obviously, if a bill like that is passed, it will increase costs for carbon-intensive industries. With business lobbies being strong there, I'm wondering whether it will be done.

You said 30% of our product exports will be covered under it. Correct me if I'm wrong.

5:15 p.m.

Principal Economist, Canadian Climate Institute

Dave Sawyer

Yes. It's a big number.

Chandra Arya Liberal Nepean, ON

Is it to our advantage if the bill passes? I'd say certainly not.

5:15 p.m.

Principal Economist, Canadian Climate Institute

Dave Sawyer

It depends on what happens. It really depends on the final rules.

Chandra Arya Liberal Nepean, ON

You mentioned the federal and provincial systems and how they help reduce emissions and maintain competitiveness. Is that not a problem for some of our sectors?

5:15 p.m.

Principal Economist, Canadian Climate Institute

Dave Sawyer

Do you mean the CBAM?

Chandra Arya Liberal Nepean, ON

Yes.

5:15 p.m.

Principal Economist, Canadian Climate Institute

Dave Sawyer

Well, it is a problem for our exporters to the extent that they get levied. It increases costs, which reduces their market share in foreign markets. It will be a problem in Europe.

Chandra Arya Liberal Nepean, ON

It will, especially for the agriculture sector, which has made Canada the fifth-largest exporter of agri-food products in the world.

How do you think they are coping with this?

5:15 p.m.

Principal Economist, Canadian Climate Institute

Dave Sawyer

The fertilizer sector would be the only sector covered under the CBAM. They would see an increase in costs. To the extent that our Canadian carbon prices are misaligned with EU carbon prices, they would face a charge.

Chandra Arya Liberal Nepean, ON

Trading with the European Union is not a problem, because our objectives align, but when it comes to Canada trading with the global south, don't you think our companies and products will be under competitive pressure?

5:15 p.m.

Principal Economist, Canadian Climate Institute

Dave Sawyer

I don't have a view on that.

Chandra Arya Liberal Nepean, ON

Is there any risk that our stringent climate policies will be considered protectionist by the countries that want to trade with us?