Hi there. My name is Tom Davidoff. I'm a housing economist at the University of British Columbia.
I'm going to focus my remarks on the following considerations. Number one, expensive housing markets in the U.S. historically have had high property tax rates overall and required Canadian owners of vacation properties to pay higher effective rates than some U.S. residents. Number two, taxes on homes that are not primary residences are a reasonable form of taxation. Number three, I don't see a strong case for imposing taxes or quotas differently by nationality, as good alternatives are available.
On the first point, the U.S. has only recently eliminated federal income tax deductions for local property taxes. An American with a combined state and federal marginal tax rate of 40%, and with sufficient itemized deductions, received a 40% tax break on their property taxes through deductibility. I enjoyed large writeoffs in that way when I taught at UC Berkeley and owned a home in Oakland. Of course, that would not be available to a Canadian who owned a property in the U.S. because they are not U.S. taxpayers.
While that preference was recently removed, I don't believe that fairness considerations with respect to Canadian owners of U.S. property played an important role in that rollback. In fact, I suspect it had nothing to do with it at all. I am a proud dual U.S. and Canadian citizen, but in this case I do not believe unfair differentials in property tax rates between Americans and Canadians should be an important consideration.
On the second point, expensive Canadian cities, particularly Vancouver, where I am now—thank you for letting me speak remotely—have highly suboptimal mixes of income and property taxation. Our tax system, roughly speaking, provides the following instructions: Do not work for a living; we tax income and sales at high rates. Do buy property; residential property faces very low mill rates relative to the U.S.
That's the tax code, but by contrast, our regulatory system provides the instruction that affordable homes should not be built. Instead, we reserve most of our land for single-family homes, which are far beyond the reach of the overwhelming bulk of the income distribution in Vancouver and Toronto. Of course, developing raw land is—appropriately—very difficult.
What's the outcome of that combination of taxes and regulations? We've invited the local and the global rich to buy property in Canada and have fed gigantic investment demand for Canadian homes, which is pushing up prices. That's not the only cause of housing unaffordability here, but it doesn't help.
Here's a fact from research done with students of mine, Paul Boniface Akaabre and Craig Jones, and I've included links to two relevant papers.
Homes in the top 5% of value in greater Vancouver, as of 2018, had a median value of $3.7 million, but the median owner of these homes paid income taxes of just $15,800. Buying that home with Canadian taxable income and 20% down would involve paying hundreds of thousands of dollars in annual income taxes. The relationship between earned income in Canada and property value is very weak in greater Vancouver.
Instead of low property taxes and high-income sales taxes, we should have the opposite. We should have low income and sales taxes and high property taxes. As you know, pushing for generally higher property taxes is politically unwise, so that's not on the policy menu. However, it is entirely reasonable to approximate good policy by requiring owners of properties who do not contribute income taxes here to pay higher property taxes. Empty homes taxes in Vancouver and B.C. have raised considerable revenue provincially and appear to have returned many homes—thousands and tens of thousands, even—to primary residence use.
The foreign empty homes tax is one approach, but an alternative would be just to charge an alternative minimum tax based on property value. Just in greater Vancouver, a very reasonable minimum income tax of 1% of property value would raise something like $2 billion annually.
What do I mean by that? I mean that if you have a million-dollar home, you have to pay $20,000 in income tax. If you pay $10,000 in income tax, then under that proposed alternative tax, you'd kick in an additional $10,000. You could raise $2 billion a year from that annually in greater Vancouver and a similar amount in greater Toronto, which is larger but where incomes and property values are more closely linked.
Using income taxes paid or declared rental income as exemptions, along with long-term primary residence exemptions for seniors, you'd obviate any of the ethical and trade problems associated with nationality-based taxes and bans.
Thank you.