Thank you very much, Madam Chair and honourable members.
Thanks for the opportunity to appear before you today.
The Ontario Chamber of Commerce represents 60,000 businesses of every size in every sector and community in Ontario. It's a real privilege to be part of this meeting today.
Trade agreements, of course, are more than legal texts. They create the economic playing field for the businesses and communities of a trading nation. They provide clear and predictable rules of the game for businesses on all sides of the borders of this continent. When they work, they create jobs, they attract investment and they keep our supply chains resilient, and when they falter, as we're seeing today, there's uncertainty that stops businesses from hiring, from investing and from growing.
For us, the CUSMA review is not just a review; it's a test of whether North American economic integration, as it stands, can survive a White House whose policies are likely to push trade away from this continent.
The very idea of the trade agreement is under threat, so we have to reaffirm a simple truth: that trade agreements are written for businesses, not for governments. Having spoken regularly to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and every state chamber in the Great Lakes region, I'm very confident in saying they agree with us that there should be fewer barriers to trade, not more, and that businesses believe free trade is working for them.
Surveys support this, finding that 94% of manufacturers across North America in all three countries rely on CUSMA for their operations, and no matter what the U.S. president may want, nearly 80% of Americans believe the agreement benefits their economy. Given this precious consensus, it's vital that we act on it.
We've polled our members, and 33% of Ontario businesses right now—a very low number—are confident we can renegotiate CUSMA on acceptable terms, and nearly half are not. At the same time, 61% of these businesses say they believe they can adapt to higher tariffs, but, of course, that resilience has limits and businesses are already making hard choices: 34% have diversified their suppliers, 33% have raised their prices and 28% are now marketing more to non-U.S. markets. Notwithstanding the U.S. president's reshoring fantasy, Ontario businesses are staying put: only 4% of respondents to our survey would even consider relocating part of their operations to the United States.
Of course, staying put and surviving does not mean thriving, so in November we spoke with one voice across Ontario's trade-impacted industries. We brought them all together earlier this year in the Ontario Business and Trade Leadership Coalition, and 18 senior leaders from the most trade-exposed sectors in Ontario joined me in putting forward some recommendations related to this review.
We've recommended three core things.
The first is preserving CUSMA as a trilateral and legally binding agreement with a fair dispute settlement process. The second is ending sectoral tariffs, as some of my colleagues have alluded to, and reducing uncertainty; we recognize this needs to be on a bilateral track adjacent to the trilateral track of CUSMA. The third is that we're recommending the government adopt an extend-and-refresh approach, not a comprehensive rewrite of the agreement so that it's a review, not a redo.
We also believe Canada must prepare for the risks that happen when you're dealing with an unreliable and unpredictable trading partner who's unresponsive even to the needs of U.S. businesses. That means we anticipate Ontario businesses will continue to need the federal and provincial governments as partners as they adapt to new operating models, new supply chains and new markets.
We're recommending that the federal government match Ontario's 15% manufacturing investment tax credit to create an aligned and combined 30% incentive for productivity-enhancing investments; avoid export bans on critical resources that could trigger retaliation; shore up domestic supply chains for essential goods and materials; and expand growth capital sources, including, we're pleased to see, the mandate of the Canada Infrastructure Bank; we saw that in the budget and we were encouraged by that, but we need to keep thinking about how we can keep providing more access for Canadian businesses.
Madam Chair, honourable members, in this period of trade turbulence, I'll conclude by saying CUSMA is not a nice-to-have; it is our lifeline and it is our lifeblood as we trade across this continent and beyond. Preserving and refreshing it is not just about trade; it's about competitiveness, it's about prosperity and it's about security that's inclusive and sustainable.
It's a moment for courage and clarity. We believe that we have to seize this opportunity to strengthen North America's economic foundation, and we believe that Canada's businesses, workers and communities are relying on us to do just that.
Thank you so much for your time.
We look forward to the conversation.