There are a number of things to say about this.
First of all, my colleague is presupposing a decision that may or not be taken that way. As it's written, the motion is not valid, because there has been no sudden cancellation of the Aurora project.
We are here to help make the best use of taxpayers' dollars. We require surveillance capability. There's no question about that. We cannot have an operational gap in that capability.
The Auroras do fly in the north. I'm not sure where my colleague is getting that, but it's absolutely wrong. They do fly in the north. They don't fly in the north as much at this time of year, because there are fewer folks to surveyal up there.
He's made some statements that we'll get another Boeing airplane. I have no idea where that's coming from. There's nothing that says we're going to get any kind of airplane. We will need an airplane to replace the Aurora at some point, but part of that will be driven by the decision the minister is going to have to make fairly shortly. There's nothing to suggest that it's going to be a Boeing airplane. That kind of statement is completely off base, and frankly it should be disregarded.
Likewise the dates that were thrown out are being picked out of the air. There are many things that will drive those kinds of decisions and those timetables.
Let me talk about the decision on the Aurora. Once again, I may have a bit better understanding of some of the technical aspects of that than other members. We've gone part way through the incremental modernization project, which is a bunch of projects put together. Part of it is avionics communication and so on. Part of it is structural.
The dilemma is that we have another $800 million to spend on the whole project. I think we have spent about $600 million; that number may not be quite accurate, but it's a considerable amount of money. As to the avionics part, there's no question that this would need to proceed.
The challenge in the decision-making process is that part of the airplane has been opened up; part of the project is on structural work. I think the concern is that five or six years down the road, once we pass the point of no return, other parts of the airplane will be opened up, it's going to be one of those “oh my God” moments, and we will have to do more structurally. I've seen this movie before. I think it's probably a pretty good prediction that it will happen. So then we're faced with having spent the money for the entire project and we have another unforecasted expenditure, or we have an operational gap because we can't fly the airplanes because we can't spent the money to fix the stuff that comes up.
That's the conundrum. Do we stop now—and that decision has not been made—and reserve that money for the following airplane, whatever that might be and from whichever company it might come? There are a number of airplanes that could potentially be candidates for that. Or do we go ahead and finish the program and hope that we find nothing else down the road?
It's a decision that I know the minister has not made. It's a decision that the chief of the air staff and his folks have been wrestling with. Frankly, they are the experts. They understand what's going on inside the Aurora. They understand the operational requirement. They're the ones who are really having to wrestle with that. It's not an easy decision. It has not been made.
The motion, as written, is not valid, because it misstates the facts.