Thank you very much, Monsieur Bernier, for inviting me.
As you probably know, I am the leader of two ArcticNet projects on Arctic sovereignty, ArcticNet being a consortium of more than 100 scientists from 27 Canadian universities and five federal departments. I've also travelled extensively in the Arctic. I've sailed the Northwest Passage. And last summer I served as a consultant to the Senate committee on fisheries and oceans during its preparation of a report on Arctic shipping.
Now, the circumpolar Arctic is a place where distances are measured in thousands of kilometres. To give you a sense of perspective, it is roughly the same distance from Ottawa to Oxford, England, as it is from Ottawa to the North Pole. And indeed, Oxford, England, is considerably farther north than Ottawa is. So I am actually closer to the North Pole than the members are in Ottawa. For this reason, the most significant security threat exists along the southern fringes of the Arctic, in places such as Baffin Bay, the Beaufort Sea, and the Northwest Passage. And those threats involve non-state actors such as drug smugglers, illegal immigrants, and possibly terrorists.
Former U.S. ambassador Paul Cellucci has expressed concern that rogue states and terrorist groups might use the Northwest Passage to traffic in weapons of mass destruction. And he's right, for as unlikely as these risks might seem at first, it is difficult to imagine a captain in charge of this kind of cargo choosing the closely scrutinized Panama Canal over an ice-free, under-policed Northwest Passage. And it was because of threats of this kind that the United States, with active Canadian participation, led the creation of the proliferation and security initiative in 2003.
An ice-free Northwest Passage could also serve as an entry point into North America for drugs, guns, illegal immigrants, and perhaps even terrorists. Dozens of gravel airstrips are scattered along the waterway, a forgotten legacy of the Cold War and countless research and prospecting expeditions. It would be relatively easy to transfer passengers or cargo from an ocean-going vessel to a Twin Otter and fly them to another small airstrip farther south.
Each summer cruise ships put hundreds of undocumented foreign nationals on shore at communities such as Pond Inlet and Resolute Bay, which have scheduled air service but no immigration controls.
We already know that attempts at illegal immigration occur in the north. In September 2006 a Romanian man sailed from Greenland to Grise Fjord, intent on returning to Toronto after having been deported from there. He was arrested by the RCMP.
In the next month, two Turkish sailors jumped ship at Churchill, Manitoba, and bought train tickets to Winnipeg. They too were arrested by the RCMP.
In August 2007, five Norwegian adventurers, complete with horned Viking helmets and intent on challenging Canada's Northwest Passage claim, arrived in Cambridge Bay. The RCMP and the Canadian Coast Guard conducted a maritime interdiction of their yacht, and they were promptly deported.
These incidents are, I would suggest, actually quite reassuring. They demonstrate that the RCMP and the coast guard, if they have appropriate equipment and support, are capable of dealing with the non-state threat.
As for the Canadian Forces, their most important role in the Arctic is the provision of search and rescue. And for reasons beyond their control, they're not currently up to that task. Four old, slow Twin Otter aircraft based in Yellowknife constitute the entirety of the Canadian Forces' Arctic air fleet. Hercules aircraft based in Trenton, Ontario, are relied on for most of the serious search and rescues, but they take six hours to reach the Northwest Passage and, once there, can only drop search and rescue technicians rather than hoist anyone on board.
None of the Canadian Forces Cormorant search and rescue helicopters is based in the Arctic, not even in summer. As I understand, it's because it's considered inefficient to locate dedicated search and rescue assets in a region with such a sparse population and, consequentially, low statistical risk of accidents, but the Arctic is a large and inhospitable place, and when accidents occur, they tend to be serious.
Cruise ships pose a particular risk, given the large numbers of often elderly passengers on board. In November 2007 a Canadian-owned vessel, the MVExplorer, sank during an Antarctic voyage. Fortunately the sea was calm, two other cruise ships were close by, and all the crew and passengers were saved. The MVExplorer could just as easily have sunk in the Canadian Arctic in rough seas and with no help nearby.
Search and rescue is also needed for airplane accidents. More than 90,000 commercial flights take transpolar or high latitude routes over Canadian territory each year. Retired Colonel Pierre LeBlanc told me the prospect of a commercial airline accident was the one thing that kept him awake at night during his many years commanding Canadian Forces northern area.
For the moment, Cormorant helicopters, like the Hercules aircraft, are deployed on specific missions from southern locations, and this causes delays and drives up the costs. Let me give you an extreme example. In June 2006 the Canadian Forces deployed one Hercules aircraft from Trenton, two Hercules aircraft from Winnipeg, one Aurora aircraft from Greenwood, Nova Scotia, and one Cormorant helicopter from Gander, Newfoundland, all to rescue three Inuit hunters whose boat had run out of fuel near Hall Beach, Nunavut.
There is an easy short-term remedy to this situation: the deployment of Cormorants to the Arctic in summertime. I would recommend one for Iqaluit and the other for Inuvik in the Northwest Territories. Since both locations are already forward staging points for CFA teams, the presence of a Cormorant should be easy to manage. They have a range in excess of 1,000 kilometres and could easily cover the two areas of greatest maritime activity in the Arctic, Baffin Bay and the Beaufort Sea, while also providing coverage of both the eastern and western portions of the Northwest Passage. They could then be redeployed to the east and west coasts at the end of the summer, in time for the winter storms that create the greatest search and rescue needs there.
Improving our search and rescue capacity in and around the Northwest Passage would also facilitate the enforcement of Canadian laws and thus the credibility of our sovereignty claim. A long-range search and rescue helicopter is the perfect platform for boarding ocean-going vessels.
Building naval vessels specifically for the Arctic is inefficient. Indeed, I would suggest that it's happening only because the coast guard is not a branch of the Canadian Forces. If the coast guard were part of the Canadian Forces, we'd be recapitalizing the icebreaker fleet, adding a light machine gun to the forward deck of each vessel, and putting proper long-range maritime helicopters on board. The coast guard could then provide search and rescue, assist with the non-state actor challenge, and still provide its existing range of other essential services, such as breaking ice for commercial vessels, maintaining navigation devices, and supporting Arctic research. I believe your committee should be exploring how the coast guard and Canadian Forces can partner in the Arctic. One obvious starting point would be for some coast guard personnel to be trained in forcible interdiction techniques by the Canadian Forces, equipped for that purpose, and made members of the naval reserve.
So what about the Arctic offshore patrol ships the Canadian Forces are due to acquire, starting in 2015? The first thing to note is that they will not be true Arctic vessels. I prefer to think of them as replacements for the Kingston class maritime coastal defence vessels, with some additional ice strengthening that will enable them to be used in the Gulf of St. Lawrence in winter and places like Baffin Bay in summer.
Incidentally, Baffin Bay is where the Danish navy's ice-strengthened frigates are designed to operate in conditions quite distinct from McClure Strait and Viscount Melville Sound. The Arctic offshore patrol ships will not be designed to break ice and, for this reason, will not be sent into the Northwest Passage, at least until climate change causes all the multi-year ice to disappear.
This brings me to the Diefenbaker, the $720 million polar icebreaker announced last year. Unlike the Arctic offshore patrol ships, the icebreaker is intended for the coast guard, but it's also much larger and more powerful than sea-ice projections warrant and, therefore, excessively expensive. Given the reality of climate change, you could spend the same amount of money and acquire two or three mid-sized icebreakers similar to the existing Terry Fox, which would give much greater coverage across the north than any single vessel.
I understand that the procurement process for the Diefenbaker was suspended last autumn, and I'm not surprised. To adopt a timely metaphor, the government decided to build a Cadillac rather than three Smart cars. It's time to reassess that plan and recapitalize the coast guard fleet on a less grand but ultimately more useful basis, with input from, and the full support of, the Canadian Forces.
Thank you very much for your attention. Merci beaucoup.