There are two categories of risk. There is first of all the ones that are high probability, low impact--the type of company, for example, that says, “I have a ship that's pretty substandard. I'm still able to get insurance for it, and I'm going to take a quick run through the Northwest Passage to save a little bit of money.” That is the type of thing Suzanne Lalonde had talked to the committee about. In my view, that has something of an element of higher probability. Ultimately, it's not as risky as say a terrorist infiltration.
Terrorists and organized crime has a much higher impact and lower probability, but it is still possible. We already have strong suspicions that organized crime did enter the north when the diamond industry opened up. It has never been proven conclusively, but in every other country diamonds and organized crime go hand in hand, so we have strong suspicions in that regard already.
In terms of terrorists, the logic of terrorism is that you look for weak points of entry. Right now the Arctic, because of the climate, is difficult to enter, but if it becomes more accessible and our southern borders are increased, it is only logical to expect that if you wanted to have entry you would go through the north. But once again, that's not talking about the immediate. You're talking more immediate to long term.
Do I foresee this as a spectrum? Absolutely. Are you saying high probability and high impact? Absolutely, in the long term.