I think that depends on the timeline of your question.
If the development goes as I predicted it in my intro, that in some years--whether that is 10 or 20 years--you would see more and more commercial traffic in the Arctic region, that means that you can either go there in parts of the year with ordinary commercial traffic or you can go there with ordinary warships. Therefore, if the Arctic is developing into a new high-tension security area due to resources or whatever, I think NATO, if it exists in 20 years, will have the same role as NATO has in other kinds of security tension areas or hot spots in the world. In that respect, I see NATO, if it continues to exist, as having a role globally in all hot spots and therefore also in the Arctic hot spot. So if commercial traffic is able to go up there, I think normal navy ships would also be able to go there, at least seasonally, or maybe in parts of the area.
I think NATO, the EU, and the UN, for that matter, will play a role in this hot spot, as they do in every other hot spot in the world. Maybe you could even foresee a situation where some of the present and actual hot spots will cool down, so that they will actually move to a new area.