Good afternoon, and thank you for having me.
I am honoured to be here, and I thank you for hosting this important discussion on issues related to climate change, security and the non-combat role of the Canadian Armed Forces.
I am privileged to be speaking with you from the traditional territories of the Lekwungen-speaking peoples on southern Vancouver Island, where I am fortunate to live and work.
Climate change is the greatest medium- and long-term threat to security in Canada. While this is not a novel assessment, it is a point of increasingly urgent consensus among security scholars and other experts. The climate security nexus, as it is often called, has been expressed in numerous reports and assessments, and is reflected in the growth of new institutions and programs focused specifically on this topic, including the new NATO centre for excellence on climate and security currently under development.
In a 2021 journal article, I outline five climate-related threats to and in Canada: human security threats, economic threats, Arctic threats, humanitarian crises and increased domestic conflict. My findings and those of colleagues and peers find that no region of the country is immune to climate-related insecurity. Indeed, the very diversity of climate-related disruption produced by Canada's vast geography and diverse communities is a fundamental aspect of our current and future climate challenges.
One result of climate-related environmental changes is that the Canadian Armed Forces have been required to increase their domestic operational tempo providing emergency response to extreme weather events. Canada's armed forces are good at mounting large logistical operations on short notice, making them an indispensable tool for government to respond to environmental disasters. Operation Lentus the standing framework whereby civilian authorities can request CAF assistance in responding to natural disasters, was activated at least 37 times between 2010 and 2021, and with increasing frequency.
For instance, 2021 alone had seven different Lentus deployments in four provinces and two territories, compared with one in 2020 and three in 2019. Last year, hundreds of military personnel deployed under Op Lentus to help prepare for flooding in Yukon, wildfire evacuations in northwestern Ontario, wildfires in Manitoba, and to provide potable water for the people of Iqaluit. Meanwhile, hundreds more CAF members supported the federal government's response to COVID-19 through operations Laser and Vector.
While some Lentus deployments are relatively small, or their tasks straightforward, others have been in response to the most destructive environmental disasters in Canadian history, such as the 2013 floods in southern Alberta, which displaced over 100,000 people; the 2016 Fort McMurray wildfire, which displaced nearly 90,000 people; and last year's combination of wildfires and flooding in my own province of British Columbia, which displaced more than 50,000 people and resulted in the west coast of Canada, including the port of Vancouver, being temporarily cut off from the rest of the country. Notably, each of these disasters was the most expensive in Canadian history until it was exceeded by the next. Whereas the 2013 Alberta floods caused approximately $5 billion in damage, the Fort McMurray wildfire caused nearly $10 billion in total damages, a figure that is likely exceeded by the costs and economic losses related to the floods in B.C.
In fact, British Columbia in 2021 provides an exemplar of the indispensable role the CAF plays in protecting the human security of Canadians. The wildfires and flooding disasters led to the deployment of hundreds of Canadian Armed Forces personnel to assist with emergency response and relief efforts. In the midst of a heat dome that fuelled wildfires and killed nearly 600 British Columbians over two weeks between late June and early July of last year, the CAF deployed more than 300 personnel to support local and provincial wildfire responses, including fire suppression, construction and airlift. In November the CAF contributed to the whole-of-government effort to address the floods, with more than 500 personnel delivering food and supplies, conducting reconnaissance and damage assessments, constructing flood defences, and helping to evacuate people, pets and livestock, including the dramatic helicopter rescue of nearly 300 people trapped by landslides on Highway 7 near Agassiz.
This exemplifies the capabilities the CAF can bring to the table that other actors cannot, and that will be increasingly required as the climate crisis worsens. In light of these events, I can only conclude that while the CAF's ability to deploy domestically in response to environmental disasters is vital, it is also insufficient.
I conclude my comments this morning with four brief points for why current disaster response capabilities in Canada should be increased in the years to come.
The first is that climate impacts and extreme weather are increasing the need for operational deployments and thus risk the straining of CAF resources, which will be needed not only across the country but also for longer periods of the year as a result of less predictable fire, flood and other extreme weather seasons.
Second, the climate change impacts affecting Canada also affect our neighbours, partners and allies, which means that established practices of resource sharing and co-operation will be strained due to the concurrent demands for finite resources, such as current programs for sharing firefighters with foreign jurisdictions such as Mexico and California. Notably, the increased demands upon and therefore reduced availability of civilian emergency resources from other jurisdictions will likely add further demand for the CAF to be the respondent agency domestically.
Third, the greatest danger is not just the increasing frequency and severity of climate-related extreme weather events, but the increased likelihood that they will occur simultaneously and strain the capacity of government to respond. British Columbia last year experienced three major disasters spaced out over less than six months, but what if in that time there had been another extreme weather event facing another major urban area in Canada on a scale comparable to the 2013 Calgary floods or the 2016 Fort McMurray wildfire? A blizzard in Halifax or a snowstorm in Toronto...? The concurrence of these climate disasters in future will substantially reduce the efficacy of the Canadian Armed Forces' ability to respond.
Finally, I conclude by simply noting that the overall health of the CAF is vital, therefore, to its ability to effectively respond in these situations. Broader discussions around the health of the armed forces in terms of the respect and standing of all of CAF members, diversity and inclusion within the ranks, the role of women and the need for a strong and forward-looking leadership are also relevant to the CAF's efficacy to respond in these kinds of situations.
I will hold my comments there, and I look forward to your questions.
Thank you.