We all saw the pictures of the Russian tanks and other vehicles mired in mud because they hadn't bothered to change the tires in the two years in storage before they deployed. I think it's worse on the personnel front. As I said, with a combination of the Wagner Group and others, they're really stretching their conscription efforts into places that aren't sustainable for them, so they're doing very, very badly, but they are a very large country with a lot of people. They have a lot of weapons in reserve. They're not good weapons, and they'll be running out of cruise missiles at some point, but they have enough stuff to keep grinding for a while in a grinding ground war of attrition in the south. That will cause very much damage to Ukraine and a little less damage to Russia, because Putin is a dictator and doesn't bear the political costs of doing that as much as other leaders might.
On April 21st, 2023. See this statement in context.