I'll defer to the specifics of time, but I completely agree with Maria. What I will add is that, generally speaking, a more integrated economy exists today than existed 15 years ago, and that causes greater issues.
Germany's decision about Nord Stream and then its decision in relation to diversifying its energy needs base are things long discussed. Germany only imports roughly 15% of its energy from Russia, but it's still notable. Those are long-term concerns.
The Russian Federation would have gamed what they thought the sanctions would be, what they could do and what they could withstand, but these are another level that we're seeing than what maybe had been predicted.