Thank you.
From the supply and some of the issues facing us there, I'm going to talk about demand, the use of electricity, and what we can do about that.
We will be starting on slide 18, which is a picture of electricity consumption in Canada by sector. We see that electricity use has risen 22% over the past decade and a bit. There has been a 25% increase in the number of households in Canada over that period, a 24% increase in commercial and institutional office space, and a 45% increase in industrial GDP, so as the economy rolls along, so does our demand for electricity.
On the next slide, we give a snapshot in 2004 of what the different sectors rely on electricity for. In the residential sector, we see that space heating, water heating, and appliances are the lion's share of our demand for electricity. In the commercial and institutional sectors, motors, the plug-in load--such as computers and other equipment that gets plugged into the wall--and lighting make up the lion's share of the uses of electricity. At the bottom of that slide is a list of the different industrial sectors and their share of industrial electricity use. Of course, we could go into even more detail and look at the breakdown of motors and lighting and other uses for electricity within each of those sectors, but I held it at this level of detail.
On the next page we say that managing electricity use through conservation activities and efficiency activities brings great benefits. It's through other activities as well, but I'll concentrate on those two.
Obviously, to the extent that you don't use an energy form that's based on a carbon form of generation and supply, such as electricity, you're going to improve your environmental impact, because energy is responsible for so many emissions; managing your electricity use has a strong impact on environmental protection, which is a strong objective of the Government of Canada. It's also a strong objective of many of our colleagues in the provincial and territorial governments.
Energy security is also a reason that governments, including the federal government, are interested in energy efficiency and managing electricity use to conserve our supplies of electricity and other sources. This is particularly resonant in provinces like Ontario, for example.
For consumers, the benefits of saving electricity revolve around saving money in the economy. In 2004, we estimate $14 billion was saved in energy, a portion of which--probably about half--was electricity savings, so there are lots of reasons to manage electricity use.
Slide 21 shows us that across the world, in very diverse economies, managing energy use--not just electricity, but managing energy use--is often about half the strategy to managing climate change. In independent research in very different economies, energy efficiency--managing energy use--is shown to make up about half of the identified savings. Of course, managing electricity demand is part of managing energy use, depending on how much of your energy comes from electricity and on how much of your energy comes from carbon-based electricity.
The next slide breaks it down in Canada. There are a number of studies I can quote here. I stuck to one that we did in conjunction with some of our colleagues who are in this room today--the Canadian Gas Association, for example. In this study we looked at the potential through energy efficiency and energy conservation. They found that these measures, if implemented by governments across Canada, could reduce the growth in energy demand by half, and about half of that would come from electricity savings.
The slide breaks it down by the different sectors. In the residential sector, for example, electricity savings of up to 27% were possible. A study like this is very useful to us and to the government because we want to plan and develop our policies and programs and see what kind of potential we should be addressing with our programs.
On the next slide, we've broken down a more technical look at the source of electricity savings when you manage electricity use. We see that major appliances, the standard appliances we use in our homes for washing and drying and cooking and so forth, have improved in their efficiency so much that absolute electricity use has declined by 12% over the past decade. The bad news is that all the other things we plug into the wall that use electricity have had an electricity growth of 71%. So while we're doing really well in some things, a whole new platform of goods that are using an awful lot of electricity have grown up, and we have to get a handle on that.
Some of the other improvements in efficiency over the past decade or so are noted on the slide.
So what can we do about managing electricity use? Governments have a wide array of instruments available to them. Some are open to all levels of government. Some are open to one order or the other--for example, regulations. The federal government has the authority to regulate the import of energy-using equipment and the shipment of those products across borders, but the provinces have the jurisdiction to regulate the sale within a province. Any jurisdiction, obviously, has the authority to put in place technical, training, and financial incentives, research and development. Building codes are under provincial jurisdiction, which has an impact on electricity use, and then there's labelling, taxes, and so forth.
Moving now to the recently announced new programs in energy efficiency, these are colleague or sister or brother programs to the ones that Tom Wallace just mentioned, the eco-energy efficiency programs partnering up with the eco-energy renewable programs. We have a home retrofit program that is intended to cover 140,000 homes over the next four years, and we expect about 23% of the savings that home owners will put into place will be electricity savings. We're offering incentives to small and medium business--that's both industrial businesses and commercial businesses--as well as small institutions. We'll cover up to about 800 of those, and about 40% of their savings will be from electricity.
On the next slide we have other programs we offer that don't have a financial incentive associated with them, but they will also result in electricity savings. We're working on better training for builders so that they build homes that are at a higher level of efficiency, home retrofit information, and for industry, technology transfer on more energy-efficient technologies, including electricity-using technologies. We estimate about 60% of the savings in the industrial sector will come from electricity savings.
The last slide I have deals with regulations. I just wanted to wrap up with one minute on regulations, because these are electricity-using products, and we have a significant regulatory agenda here in Canada. We regulate more products, according to an APEC study, than any other country in the world. Canada regulates 47 products. The United States regulates 39, followed at some distance by China and Korea and then Europe, way down the list. We are also a leader, in many cases, in terms of the stringency of the performance of our standards.
We have the intention to bring in 30 new standards or improve the rating requirement of products in the coming four years under the eco-energy regulations, and we were looking for changes to the Energy Efficiency Act under the Clean Air Act in order to broaden our powers, but we can still proceed with 28 of the 30 of those regulations regardless of the changes to the Clean Air Act.
That concludes my description of electricity demand management.
There's a remaining slide, for your information, that lists some of the products we're intending to regulate over the next four years.
Tom and I would be happy to take your questions.