The most important thing from an industry point of view is that we have some understanding of what's going to unfold, that we see policies and regulations come out with a realistic timeframe, from a business point of view.
What I see in the long run is that a lot of the less efficient plants will eventually close down because they get older anyway. Taking away the capital stock that's out there was what Dave was talking about.
Some of those plants will be replaced with new, modern plants based on the 20% technology. Others will be based on gasification technology that can give us maybe an 80% improvement.
But we don't have total control over that technology train. We can put more energy, time, and effort into doing these kinds of projects, but the technology has to evolve and become more viable and reliable as time goes on. If we can somehow marry the expectations of the regulators and the government with the possibilities and limitations the technology presents, I think that would be the best of both worlds. This is the kind of thing we would look for.
We may need research in certain areas. We need infrastructure in a lot of different areas. When we talk about sequestering carbon dioxide, right now there is no carbon dioxide to sequester, so industry hasn't developed that yet. But if we did have it, there is no infrastructure with which to move it around to where we need to sequester it.
So there is a lot of planning that has to go into the whole process over the next number of years. Industry, regulators, and governments can work together to make all of this happen. I think that's going to be the smoothest transition.
Hitting us with regulations that we can't adhere to is going to cause us tremendous difficulty in the short run.