Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I'll try to be as brief as possible.
Thank you, panel, for being here today. Certainly energy is at a point in Canadian economic development where we're making some very broad and significant choices. That leads me to my first question, which I'll put out to you.
You talk about critical variables in making decisions about energy, and you mentioned an energy framework. Does this group believe we need a national energy strategy that can drive the industry in the correct directions with the correct values being attached to the directions we take?
That plays back in so many fashions. It can play back in energy efficiency, of course.
I went through the numbers you had given, and I thought 10% was a little bit conservative, considering that you were anticipating that the best-case scenario for energy efficiency was a reduction of almost 1,000 units out of 6,300. That's more like 16%. That was curious, but I do think there is a lot in energy efficiency.
If you look at the Japanese and the Swedish in terms of the efficiency of using fossil fuels for generating electricity, you'll see that their percentages are considerably higher than ours. If we're retooling into our production of electricity from these sources, we should be putting those values of efficiency very high, and it certainly could play there in making it energy efficient in that regard.
I want to touch on the natural gas industry, because of course the figures that the National Energy Board put in projection of supply and demand for natural gas show us in a crisis in natural gas by 2015 to 2020 in Canada, bearing in mind that we have some obligations under NAFTA. So we'll be in a crisis of supply, whether we bring in liquefied natural gas, whether we bring coalbed methane on board, or whether we use all the alternatives that we have available, if we don't have a massive program of energy efficiency using natural gas.
Then we go to liquefied natural gas, and when you attach it to values, say, at the heart of the modern economy, which is central to economic development and productivity, we're talking about importing another source of fossil fuel. We're importing gas and exporting our economy. In terms of our fundamental security and well-being, we're taking on another imported energy source, and that's certainly not providing security to Canadians critical to environmental management. We're transferring the greenhouse gas emissions that are required for the production and distribution of a liquefied form of natural gas over to another country. So when you look at it in terms of your values, this is something we have to take very seriously, this new energy form that we're considering for Canada and that you've promoted a number of times in your document.
Oil sands policy is another very important issue right now. It relates back to the production of hydrogen, interestingly enough, because, of course, Fort McMurray is the largest producer and user of hydrogen in the world. A partial problem we have with the oil sands is that we're using natural gas to produce hydrogen, where there may by renewable or more acceptable forms of production of hydrogen that we could look at.
However, we have taken a hands-off policy since 1995. The Chrétien government, in conjunction with the Alberta government at that time, instituted some very large tax and royalty breaks to these companies--when of course oil was at $12 a barrel; we're now at $70. Perhaps this is causing an imbalance in our energy mix right now in Canada and the direction in which we're going, because we've favoured one energy industry over others. It may have been appropriate in the 1990s, but obviously there's some question about its appropriateness now.
I am sure another one you talked about deals with coal, sequestration of carbon dioxide. A very good MIT study looks at the nuclear or the wind industry as being cost-competitive today with any potential sequestration of carbon dioxide. Are you suggesting we should wait 15 or 20 years in moving on our coal industry when we have more viable options right now in the renewables or in the nuclear industry, which are cost-competitive right now with the projections they have from sequestering coal from combined-cycled plants?
Those are a number of questions, and I'll leave it at that.