I'll begin.
Thank you, Mr. Chairman and honourable members of the committee.
I'd like to take you through the Pembina Institute's submission to the committee here today. We will start off with a little introduction as to what Pembina is. I guess the easy way to talk about Pembina is to say we're an environmental, non-governmental organization with our focus on energy. This is very much within the realm of the research and the work that we've been doing for over 20 years.
Our experience with renewable fuels resides in the academic field, working with companies on preparing research as to where the current status of the industry is, working within government processes, such as the Council of Energy Ministers working group on renewable fuels, as well as working with other NGOs on their perspectives on the renewable fuels industry and sharing ideas between the different groups. So we're very well plugged in on this issue, needless to say.
As far as the submission is concerned, we covered four basic areas. One is in a larger, broader environmental policy context, so I think it's appropriate to talk about renewable fuels within that context, and I'll do a bit of that here today. We do talk about how a renewable fuels policy can maximize the environmental benefits, so getting the biggest environmental bang for the buck is something we are going to focus our comments on today primarily, since our interest is on the environmental side. As well, I think it is important to mention a few words on the competition with food and future opportunities.
Looking at the larger picture, if we do some quick numbers on where the 5% renewable fuels content will get us as far as greenhouse gas emission reductions are concerned, we can see that it's actually less than half of 1% of national emissions. If you consider the fact that three provinces have already put standards in place, or are in the process of putting standards in place, that means the federal action in this area is going to be less than half of 1%. And when we consider the fact that emissions in this country have gone up 30% since 1990, I think we're very much saying that this is a drop in the bucket as far as emission reductions are concerned and where we need to be heading.
The main message here is really that renewable fuels is only one component of a larger environmental policy and greenhouse gas policy within Canada, and certainly as far as industry is concerned, we need to be seeing more building and addressing emissions from vehicles and other areas as well.
If we look at the air quality impacts of renewable fuels--we have been looking in this area and talking to other people about what the air quality impacts will be--there's a wide range of research on this subject as far as what the benefits will be. At the very least, most researchers agree that renewable fuels will not make the air quality worse than it already is, but the degree of benefit that we'll be achieving is uncertain. There is no consensus on it at this point. That's an important point to raise as well.
When we get into how to make the best environmental choices when we're talking about setting policy, we are aware that this is going to be a rather significant industry, and by setting the right policies in place we can maximize the return on investment from an environmental perspective.
Of two things that are important to note, the first would be to recognize, as far as the environmental impact is concerned, that it depends on how you produce the fuel. So it's expected that most of the fuel in the marketplace meeting that 5% demand will be starch-based ethanol that will come from wheat and corn. We know from the research out there that there's very strong agreement that if you produce ethanol from cellulose sources--wood fibres--you get a much better environmental bang for your buck, as far as the amount of emissions reduced on a per-kilometre basis. Biodiesel is another fuel that will give larger emission reductions than starch-based ethanols.
So what we're suggesting in this case is that policies are put in place in order to provide targeted support for the cellulose ethanol and the biodiesels. Unfortunately, those technologies are not as mature as for the starch ethanols, so without targeted support it's expected that they won't play a very big role in the 5% mandate that has been announced. If we want to make an impact in this area and move toward where the big environmental wins are, we need to be providing support to those in the early stages.
On page 4 of the submission we've outlined a number of areas in which we can provide that targeted support. The first two points really come down to providing incentives and support for the development, commercialization, and production of cellulose ethanol and biodiesel.
When we look at some examples of what policies may look like, there's certainly the ability to introduce additional credits towards a renewable fuel standard, such as they're doing in the United States. As well, you can look at production incentives, consumer tax incentives, and accelerated capital cost allowances. This is a tool that's been used quite successfully. An example is the oil sands. In order to move this industry over the years into one that is mature, they have been allowed to write off 100% of their capital cost expenses. It was basically set up to get the industry on its feet. I think it's safe to say the industry is on its feet right now, and we'd like to see mechanisms such as this be transitioned towards new emerging industry areas in order to provide the next generation of technologies.
Another item that I'd like to mention is that agricultural practices have a big impact on the life cycle of emissions and the environmental impact of producing renewable fuels. So certainly we need to be targeting policies in this area in order to ensure that the production of the feedstock is done in the most beneficial way possible.
The co-products that are produced from renewable fuels are another area where there are big environmental benefits, if you're able to use the co-products. Examples of these co-products are the animal feed and the fertilizer. By using these products you're displacing production of animal feed and fertilizer from other areas, and this is where you get a lot of emissions reduction, by displacing those other products.
With the expected increase in renewable fuels production we're expecting to see that there will be a lot more of these co-products on the market. Basically, if the market gets flooded and you're not able to move these products, all of a sudden your environmental benefits for producing these renewable fuels will decrease dramatically. We believe there needs to be some work in the area of ensuring that these markets do develop and we do see the environmental benefits from the co-products that are produced.
To spend a quick minute on the food or fuel question, this is a question that should be considered, as it is very important to this country. The one point I want to make here is that it is possible to make both food and fuel from the same piece of land. Technologies like cellulose ethanol allow you to take the non-food portion, the stalks of the corn and wheat, and produce fuel from them. By advancing these types of technologies, obviously we're getting multiple wins in this area. So potential conflicts with food production that may be foreseen in the future will become less of an issue if we transition to these new technologies.
The final point I wanted to mention was on future opportunities. Certainly, the challenge that we face regarding climate change is beyond the next five years; it is a long-term challenge. What we require at this point is deep emission reductions over the long term. What we would suggest is that we prepare for that by encouraging vehicles that are able to use high percentages of renewable fuels.
I'm sure many of you are aware of vehicles that are able to run on both 85% ethanol and gasoline. By getting these vehicles into the marketplace today we essentially start producing a market for when high-concentration fuels make it into the marketplace. If we encourage these vehicles, basically the customers will be ready by the time we're ready to put more 85% ethanol pumps in the marketplace. So certainly, policies directed towards encouraging these flexible-fuel vehicles would be beneficial.
In closing, I'd just like to reiterate that certainly a renewable fuel standard is going to bring some environmental benefits. The degree to which we get those environmental benefits will depend on the details of the policy. To date we haven't seen anything concrete on what those details will be, so it's hard to say what the overall impact will be. Certainly there's a way in which we can introduce policies that will leverage this larger investment towards the largest environmental benefit possible.
Thank you.