There is a major experiment starting in North America. First, the American state of California, the tenth largest economy in the world, will create a significant carbon market. There will be sufficient liquidity to have a meaningful cap and trade system. Second, in Canada, on December 21, 2012, the Quebec National Assembly passed the latest regulations and laws to establish a regulated carbon market as set out in the Kyoto Protocol.
There is a difference though. My company is very active on the California market. Americans are smart. They took everything that was good from the Kyoto Protocol and left out what was not good. They have set up a very strict market that is already working very well. Two auctions were held, one in November and the other in January. The price per tonne is $12 or $13. It is a very attractive price, which reflects today’s reality, in my view.
Likewise, I think Ottawa needs to look at what is happening between Quebec and California. Washington will be doing the same thing. If those two markets are working very well in a year or two, they can become a model for other regions, territories and provinces to enter this market. It is interesting to see who will be the leader. The American states or the provinces? It must also be said that, as part of the Western Climate Initiative, other partners might intend to become plugged into that market. Ontario is one example. There are observers such as Nova Scotia. Off the top of my head, in the U.S., there is Oregon, Utah and New Mexico. Everyone is watching and waiting.
I think the Canadian government decided to watch this experience very closely because, at the Vancouver conference, everyone was talking about the Quebec and California experience. We might say that this is perhaps a stricter model than the Kyoto Protocol, which was heavily criticized. The Canadian government rightly echoed the same criticism, but the Quebec-California market, which is relying on the Kyoto Protocol experience, might be a much more appealing market. That is what I think.